Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.80 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBra to win ✗58% · @1.91
Double chanceBra or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.65
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓62% · @1.80
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20% · fair 5.06
Borgosesia vs Bra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Borgosesia welcome Bra for a Serie D Girone A fixture on Sunday 20 September (14:00 WAT). In the table, Borgosesia are 13th, lower half, on 13 points after 11 matches; Bra are 16th (in the drop zone) with 10. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Bra, last 5: LLDDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Biellese, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Borgosesia 0.6 xG, Bra 1.3 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Borgosesia 20%, draw 22%, Bra 58%.
Lower-risk option: Bra or draw (80%) at 1.22.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Bra or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Borgosesia 0–1 Bra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Borgosesia20%fair 4.92 · @3.50
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Bra58%fair 1.73 · @1.91
1.88Expected goals
0.58Borgosesia xG
1.30Bra xG
40%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–120%
0–015%
0–213%
1–112%
1–09%
1–27%
From our goals model: Borgosesia 0.6 – 1.3 Bra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bra to win✗
58%
1.73
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Bra or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
60%
1.65
–
Draw no bet
Bra (draw no bet)
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Borgosesia +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.80 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Bra to score first✗
59%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bra / FT Bra✗
32%
3.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
20%
5.06
–
Recent results
Borgosesia – last 2
DL
16 Sep
@ Gozzano
0–0
D
12 Sep
vs Saluzzo
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Bra – last 6
LLDDDL
16 Sep
vs Biellese
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ Lascaris
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Fezzanese
1–1
D
26 Apr
@ Juventus U23
2–2
D
29 Mar
@ Pontedera
0–0
D
20 Mar
vs Arezzo
0–4
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Borgosesia and Bra.
Our pick is Bra or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Borgosesia vs Bra?
On our numbers Borgosesia have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bra 58%.
How many goals will there be in Borgosesia vs Bra?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Borgosesia vs Bra?
Our predicted score is Borgosesia 0–1 Bra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Borgosesia vs Bra?
Borgosesia vs Bra (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
