Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.01
Celle Varazze vs Ligorna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ligorna travel to face Celle Varazze on Sunday 20 September in the Serie D Girone A – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Celle Varazze are 18th, in the drop zone, on 4 points after 11 matches; Ligorna are 5th (upper half) with 18. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Celle Varazze, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Saluzzo, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Ligorna, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Derthona, at home. The attack is flying at 3.3 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Celle Varazze 1.3 xG, Ligorna 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Celle Varazze 33%, draw 23%, Ligorna 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (50%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 2.00, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Celle Varazze 1–2 Ligorna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Celle Varazze33%fair 3.06 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.20
Ligorna45%fair 2.23 · @2.20
2.84Expected goals
1.29Celle Varazze xG
1.56Ligorna xG
51%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Celle Varazze 1.3 – 1.6 Ligorna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ligorna to win✓
45%
2.23
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
–
Draw no bet
Ligorna (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Celle Varazze +1 (Asian handicap)✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
2.05
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Ligorna to score first✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ligorna / FT Ligorna✗
26%
3.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.01
–
Recent results
Celle Varazze – last 6
LLLWWW
16 Sep
@ Saluzzo
1–3
L
12 Sep
@ Sanremese
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Derthona
0–1
L
3 May
@ Imperia
1–0
W
26 Apr
vs Sestri Levante
1–0
W
2 Apr
@ Derthona
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ligorna – last 6
LLDWWW
16 Sep
vs Derthona
2–3
L
13 Sep
@ Biellese
1–3
L
6 Sep
vs Sanremese
2–2
D
17 May
vs Città di Varese
5–3
W
10 May
vs Chisola
1–0
W
3 May
vs NovaRomentin
9–1
W
3.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Celle Varazze and Ligorna.
What is the prediction for Celle Varazze vs Ligorna?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Celle Varazze vs Ligorna?
On our numbers Celle Varazze have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ligorna 45%.
How many goals will there be in Celle Varazze vs Ligorna?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celle Varazze vs Ligorna?
Our predicted score is Celle Varazze 1–2 Ligorna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Celle Varazze vs Ligorna?
Celle Varazze vs Ligorna (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
