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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Imperia v Celle Varazze: numbers & prediction

Imperia

LWDLW
2–0
FT
Imperia 67%Draw 22%Celle Varazze 11% Expected goals 1.95 – 0.68
67%
Betarazi pick

Imperia to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultImperia to win ✓67% · @1.57
Double chanceImperia or draw ✓89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9% · fair 11.15

Imperia vs Celle Varazze: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:30 WAT, Sunday 25 October: Imperia v Celle Varazze in the Serie D Girone A. In the table, Imperia are 9th, upper half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Celle Varazze are 18th (in the drop zone) with 4.

Current form

Imperia, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Borgosesia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Celle Varazze, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Gozzano, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Imperia, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.2 for Celle Varazze.

Head to head

When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Imperia 0–1 Celle Varazze.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Imperia 2.0 xG, Celle Varazze 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 45%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Imperia 67%, draw 22%, Celle Varazze 11%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Imperia to win (67%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.49, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Imperia 1–0 Celle Varazze. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Imperia67%fair 1.49 · @1.57
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.70
Celle Varazze11%fair 8.91 · @4.75
2.63Expected goals
1.95Imperia xG
0.68Celle Varazze xG
45%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%

From our goals model: Imperia 2.0 – 0.7 Celle Varazze expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultImperia to win ✓67%1.491.57 ▲
Double chanceImperia or draw ✓89%1.131.12
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.80–
Draw no betImperia (draw no bet) ✓86%1.17–
Asian handicapImperia -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗50%2.001.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreImperia to score first ✓69%1.45–
Half-time resultImperia ahead at half-time ✗48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Imperia / FT Imperia ✗44%2.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9%11.15–

Recent results

Imperia – last 6

LWDLWL
18 Oct@ Borgosesia2–4L
11 Octvs Biellese2–1W
4 Oct@ Lascaris1–1D
30 Sep@ Alessandria1–2L
27 Sepvs Fezzanese2–0W
16 Sepvs Asti1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Celle Varazze – last 6

LDLLLL
18 Octvs Gozzano1–2L
11 Oct@ Sestri Levante1–1D
7 Oct@ Bra0–2L
4 Octvs Chisola0–4L
20 Sepvs Ligorna0–2L
16 Sep@ Saluzzo1–3L
0.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 May 2026Imperia v Celle Varazze0–1
Imperia vs Celle Varazze head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alessandria111001+1230
2Chisola11632+1221
3Biellese11632+1021
4Derthona11542+119
5Ligorna11533+518
6Millesimo11524+617
7Sanremese11452+417
8Saluzzo11362+115
9Imperia11434+115
10Asti11425-214
11Gozzano11425-414
12Sestri Levante11344-213
13Borgosesia11344-213
14Lascaris11335-512
15Fezzanese11326-711
16Bra11245-710
17Valenzana11137-86
18Celle Varazze11119-154

More Serie D Girone A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Imperia vs Celle Varazze?

Our pick is Imperia to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Imperia vs Celle Varazze?

On our numbers Imperia have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Celle Varazze 11%.

How many goals will there be in Imperia vs Celle Varazze?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Imperia vs Celle Varazze?

Our predicted score is Imperia 1–0 Celle Varazze, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Imperia vs Celle Varazze?

Imperia vs Celle Varazze (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.