Alessandria vs Celle Varazze: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alessandria welcome Celle Varazze to Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta for a Serie D Girone A fixture on Sunday 8 November (14:30 WAT). In the table, Alessandria are 1st, leading the league, on 30 points after 11 matches; Celle Varazze are 18th (in the drop zone) with 4. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Alessandria, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Borgosesia, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Celle Varazze, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Valenzana, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Alessandria, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.7 for Celle Varazze.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alessandria 2.2 xG, Celle Varazze 0.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alessandria 71%, draw 20%, Celle Varazze 9%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.03.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Alessandria to win (71%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alessandria 2–0 Celle Varazze. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alessandria71%fair 1.40 · @1.33
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @4.50
Celle Varazze9%fair 11.39 · @7.40
2.81Expected goals
2.16Alessandria xG
0.65Celle Varazze xG
50%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Alessandria 2.2 – 0.6 Celle Varazze expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alessandria to win✓
71%
1.40
1.33
Double chance
Alessandria or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
2.03
Draw no bet
Alessandria (draw no bet)✓
89%
1.12
–
Asian handicap
Alessandria -1 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Alessandria to score first✓
72%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Alessandria ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alessandria / FT Alessandria✗
48%
2.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.96
–
Recent results
Alessandria – last 6
WWWWLW
1 Nov
@ Borgosesia
3–1
W
25 Oct
vs Biellese
2–0
W
18 Oct
@ Lascaris
2–1
W
11 Oct
vs Fezzanese
2–0
W
7 Oct
@ Biellese
2–3
L
4 Oct
@ Derthona
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Celle Varazze – last 6
WLLDLL
1 Nov
vs Valenzana
2–1
W
25 Oct
@ Imperia
0–2
L
18 Oct
vs Gozzano
1–2
L
11 Oct
@ Sestri Levante
1–1
D
7 Oct
@ Bra
0–2
L
4 Oct
vs Chisola
0–4
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alessandria and Celle Varazze.
What is the prediction for Alessandria vs Celle Varazze?
Our pick is Alessandria to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Alessandria vs Celle Varazze?
On our numbers Alessandria have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Celle Varazze 9%.
How many goals will there be in Alessandria vs Celle Varazze?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alessandria vs Celle Varazze?
Our predicted score is Alessandria 2–0 Celle Varazze, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Alessandria vs Celle Varazze?
Alessandria vs Celle Varazze (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
