Millesimo vs Ligorna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Sunday 8 November: Millesimo v Ligorna in the Serie D Girone A. In the table, Millesimo are 6th, upper half, on 17 points after 11 matches; Ligorna are 5th (upper half) with 18. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Millesimo, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Biellese, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Ligorna, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sestri Levante, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Ligorna, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Millesimo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Millesimo 1.3 xG, Ligorna 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Millesimo 37%, draw 23%, Ligorna 40%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.76.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.76). Most likely score in line with that pick: Millesimo 1–1 Ligorna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Millesimo37%fair 2.72 · @2.55
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.05
Ligorna40%fair 2.50 · @2.55
2.69Expected goals
1.31Millesimo xG
1.38Ligorna xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Millesimo 1.3 – 1.4 Ligorna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ligorna to win✗
40%
2.50
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.76
Draw no bet
Ligorna (draw no bet)
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Millesimo +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.94
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Ligorna to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ligorna / FT Ligorna✗
23%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.80
–
Recent results
Millesimo – last 6
LDWWLL
1 Nov
@ Biellese
1–4
L
25 Oct
vs Sanremese
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Fezzanese
4–0
W
11 Oct
vs Borgosesia
3–0
W
7 Oct
@ Sanremese
2–5
L
4 Oct
@ Asti
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ligorna – last 6
DWLWWW
1 Nov
vs Sestri Levante
0–0
D
25 Oct
@ Valenzana
1–0
W
18 Oct
vs Bra
1–2
L
11 Oct
@ Gozzano
4–0
W
4 Oct
vs Saluzzo
2–1
W
27 Sep
@ Chisola
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Millesimo and Ligorna.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.76.
Who will win Millesimo vs Ligorna?
On our numbers Millesimo have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ligorna 40%.
How many goals will there be in Millesimo vs Ligorna?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Millesimo vs Ligorna?
Our predicted score is Millesimo 1–1 Ligorna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Millesimo vs Ligorna?
Millesimo vs Ligorna (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
