Leon 43%Draw 23%Piacenza 34%Expected goals 1.21 – 1.03
58%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultLeon to win ✗43% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.72
Leon vs Piacenza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 16 September the Serie D Girone B brings Leon against Piacenza. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Leon are 5th, upper half, on 21 points after 11 matches; Piacenza are 4th (among the top four) with 21. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Leon, last 5: DWLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Caldiero Terme, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Piacenza, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Virtus Verona, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Piacenza, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Leon.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leon 1.2 xG, Piacenza 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 43%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leon 43%, draw 23%, Piacenza 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leon 1–1 Piacenza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leon43%fair 2.31 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.20
Piacenza34%fair 2.93 · @2.62
2.23Expected goals
1.21Leon xG
1.03Piacenza xG
43%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Leon 1.2 – 1.0 Piacenza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leon to win✗
43%
2.31
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
–
Draw no bet
Leon (draw no bet)
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Piacenza +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Leon to score first✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leon / FT Leon✗
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.72
–
Recent results
Leon – last 6
DWLLDD
13 Sep
@ Caldiero Terme
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Brusaporto
2–0
W
10 May
@ USD Casatese
0–4
L
3 May
@ USD Casatese
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Chievo
2–2
D
19 Apr
@ Scanzorosciate
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Piacenza – last 6
LWWDWW
13 Sep
vs Virtus Verona
0–1
L
6 Sep
@ Tritium
2–1
W
17 May
@ Lentigione
2–0
W
10 May
@ Pistoiese
1–1
D
3 May
vs Crema
3–1
W
19 Apr
vs Pro Sesto
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leon and Piacenza.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Leon vs Piacenza?
On our numbers Leon have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Piacenza 34%.
How many goals will there be in Leon vs Piacenza?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leon vs Piacenza?
Our predicted score is Leon 1–1 Piacenza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Leon vs Piacenza?
Leon vs Piacenza (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
