Value bet: Villa Valle to win @ 2.70 – our chance 43% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVilla Valle to win ✗43% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.96
Tritium vs Villa Valle: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 16 September the Serie D Girone B brings Tritium against Villa Valle. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Tritium are 18th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 11 matches; Villa Valle are 7th (upper half) with 17.
Current form
Villa Valle, last 5: DDLLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Virtus Ciserano Bergamo, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tritium 1.1 xG, Villa Valle 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tritium 34%, draw 23%, Villa Valle 43%.
Price worth noting: Villa Valle to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tritium 1–1 Villa Valle. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tritium34%fair 2.95 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.10
Villa Valle43%fair 2.32 · @2.70
2.48Expected goals
1.15Tritium xG
1.34Villa Valle xG
46%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–29%
0–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: Tritium 1.1 – 1.3 Villa Valle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villa Valle to win✗
43%
2.32
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
–
Draw no bet
Villa Valle (draw no bet)
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Tritium +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Villa Valle to score first✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villa Valle / FT Villa Valle✗
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.96
–
Recent results
Tritium – last 2
LL
12 Sep
@ Brusaporto
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Piacenza
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Villa Valle – last 6
DDLLDD
13 Sep
vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Virtus Verona
2–2
D
3 May
@ Breno
1–2
L
26 Apr
vs Oltrepò
1–3
L
19 Apr
@ Caldiero Terme
1–1
D
2 Apr
@ Milan II
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tritium and Villa Valle.
What is the prediction for Tritium vs Villa Valle?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Tritium vs Villa Valle?
On our numbers Tritium have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Villa Valle 43%.
How many goals will there be in Tritium vs Villa Valle?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tritium vs Villa Valle?
Our predicted score is Tritium 1–1 Villa Valle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Tritium vs Villa Valle?
Tritium vs Villa Valle (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
