Value bet: Fiorenzuola to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCaldiero Terme to win ✗43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.02
Fiorenzuola vs Caldiero Terme: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 27 September the Serie D Girone B brings Fiorenzuola against Caldiero Terme at Stadio comunale. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Fiorenzuola are 17th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 11 matches; Caldiero Terme are 6th (upper half) with 18. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Fiorenzuola, last 4: LLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Brusaporto, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.
Caldiero Terme, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Scanzorosciate, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Caldiero Terme, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.0 for Fiorenzuola.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fiorenzuola 1.2 xG, Caldiero Terme 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fiorenzuola 35%, draw 23%, Caldiero Terme 43%.
Price worth noting: Fiorenzuola to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fiorenzuola 1–1 Caldiero Terme. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fiorenzuola35%fair 2.89 · @3.20
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.20
Caldiero Terme43%fair 2.34 · @2.05
2.48Expected goals
1.16Fiorenzuola xG
1.33Caldiero Terme xG
48%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Fiorenzuola 1.2 – 1.3 Caldiero Terme expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caldiero Terme to win✗
43%
2.34
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
–
Draw no bet
Caldiero Terme (draw no bet)
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Fiorenzuola +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Caldiero Terme to score first✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caldiero Terme / FT Caldiero Terme✗
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.02
–
Recent results
Fiorenzuola – last 4
LLLL
20 Sep
@ Brusaporto
0–1
L
16 Sep
vs Pro Palazzolo
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Nibbiano & Valtidone
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Scanzorosciate
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Caldiero Terme – last 6
WDDLDD
20 Sep
vs Scanzorosciate
1–0
W
16 Sep
@ Real Calepina
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Leon
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Milan II
3–4
L
3 May
vs Varesina
2–2
D
19 Apr
vs Villa Valle
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fiorenzuola and Caldiero Terme.
What is the prediction for Fiorenzuola vs Caldiero Terme?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Fiorenzuola vs Caldiero Terme?
On our numbers Fiorenzuola have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Caldiero Terme 43%.
How many goals will there be in Fiorenzuola vs Caldiero Terme?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fiorenzuola vs Caldiero Terme?
Our predicted score is Fiorenzuola 1–1 Caldiero Terme, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Fiorenzuola vs Caldiero Terme?
Fiorenzuola vs Caldiero Terme (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio comunale.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
