Leon 60%Draw 21%Villa Valle 19%Expected goals 1.66 – 0.76
81%
Betarazi pick
Leon or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Leon to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLeon to win ✗60% · @1.85
Double chanceLeon or draw ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.80
Leon vs Villa Valle: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 27 September: Leon v Villa Valle in the Serie D Girone B. In the table, Leon are 5th, upper half, on 21 points after 11 matches; Villa Valle are 7th (upper half) with 17.
Current form
Leon, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Rovato Vertovese, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Villa Valle, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Milan II, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Leon, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Villa Valle.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Leon Monza e Brianza 1–2 Villa Valle.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leon 1.7 xG, Villa Valle 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 43%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leon 60%, draw 21%, Villa Valle 19%.
Lower-risk option: Leon or draw (81%) at 1.22.
Price worth noting: Leon to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Leon or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leon 1–0 Villa Valle. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leon60%fair 1.66 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.30
Villa Valle19%fair 5.37 · @3.70
2.42Expected goals
1.66Leon xG
0.76Villa Valle xG
43%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Leon 1.7 – 0.8 Villa Valle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Leon or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Leon vs Villa Valle?
On our numbers Leon have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Villa Valle 19%.
How many goals will there be in Leon vs Villa Valle?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leon vs Villa Valle?
Our predicted score is Leon 1–0 Villa Valle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Leon vs Villa Valle?
Leon vs Villa Valle (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
