Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.24 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.24Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.74 – our chance 65% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultReal Calepina to win ✓40% · @2.51
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · fair 1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.74
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.98
Rovato Vertovese vs Real Calepina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Real Calepina travel to face Rovato Vertovese on Sunday 4 October in the Serie D Girone B – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Rovato Vertovese are 14th, lower half, on 10 points after 11 matches; Real Calepina are 11th (lower half) with 13. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Rovato Vertovese, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Tritium, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Real Calepina, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Brusaporto, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rovato Vertovese 1.6 xG, Real Calepina 1.7 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rovato Vertovese 39%, draw 21%, Real Calepina 40%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.74.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.74 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rovato Vertovese 1–1 Real Calepina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rovato Vertovese39%fair 2.56 · @2.58
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.76
Real Calepina40%fair 2.49 · @2.51
3.29Expected goals
1.63Rovato Vertovese xG
1.66Real Calepina xG
65%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Rovato Vertovese 1.6 – 1.7 Real Calepina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Calepina to win✓
40%
2.49
2.51
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.55
1.74 ▲
Draw no bet
Real Calepina (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Rovato Vertovese +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.24
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.80 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.11
First team to score
Real Calepina to score first✓
48%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.66
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Calepina / FT Real Calepina✗
23%
4.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.98
–
Recent results
Rovato Vertovese – last 6
DDDLLD
27 Sep
@ Tritium
2–2
D
20 Sep
vs Leon
2–2
D
16 Sep
@ Virtus Verona
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Chievo
3–4
L
6 Sep
@ Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
0–2
L
8 Aug
vs Ospitaletto
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Real Calepina – last 6
LLDDWD
27 Sep
vs Brusaporto
2–3
L
20 Sep
@ Piacenza
1–3
L
16 Sep
vs Caldiero Terme
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Scanzorosciate
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Pro Palazzolo
5–1
W
3 May
vs Scanzorosciate
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rovato Vertovese and Real Calepina.
What is the prediction for Rovato Vertovese vs Real Calepina?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Rovato Vertovese vs Real Calepina?
On our numbers Rovato Vertovese have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Real Calepina 40%.
How many goals will there be in Rovato Vertovese vs Real Calepina?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rovato Vertovese vs Real Calepina?
Our predicted score is Rovato Vertovese 1–1 Real Calepina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Rovato Vertovese vs Real Calepina?
Rovato Vertovese vs Real Calepina (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
