Villa Valle 59%Draw 25%Fiorenzuola 16%Expected goals 1.56 – 0.65
59%
Betarazi pick
Villa Valle to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Picks by market
ResultVilla Valle to win ✗59% · @1.85
Double chanceVilla Valle or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓61% · fair 1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.87
Villa Valle vs Fiorenzuola: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Villa Valle welcome Fiorenzuola for a Serie D Girone B fixture on Sunday 4 October (14:00 WAT). In the table, Villa Valle are 7th, upper half, on 17 points after 11 matches; Fiorenzuola are 17th (in the drop zone) with 6.
Current form
Villa Valle, last 5: WLDDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Leon, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Fiorenzuola, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Caldiero Terme, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Momentum favours Villa Valle, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.2 for Fiorenzuola.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Villa Valle 1.6 xG, Fiorenzuola 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 39%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Villa Valle 59%, draw 25%, Fiorenzuola 16%.
Lower-risk option: Villa Valle or draw (84%) at 1.18.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Villa Valle to win (59%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.69, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Villa Valle 1–0 Fiorenzuola. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Villa Valle59%fair 1.69 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.25
Fiorenzuola16%fair 6.41 · @3.80
2.21Expected goals
1.56Villa Valle xG
0.65Fiorenzuola xG
39%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Villa Valle 1.6 – 0.7 Fiorenzuola expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villa Valle to win✗
59%
1.69
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Villa Valle or draw✓
84%
1.18
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
–
Draw no bet
Villa Valle (draw no bet)
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Fiorenzuola +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Villa Valle to score first✗
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villa Valle / FT Villa Valle✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.87
–
Recent results
Villa Valle – last 6
WLDDDL
27 Sep
@ Leon
2–1
W
20 Sep
vs Milan II
1–2
L
16 Sep
@ Tritium
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Virtus Verona
2–2
D
3 May
@ Breno
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Fiorenzuola – last 5
DLLLL
27 Sep
vs Caldiero Terme
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Brusaporto
0–1
L
16 Sep
vs Pro Palazzolo
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Nibbiano & Valtidone
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Scanzorosciate
0–1
L
0.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villa Valle and Fiorenzuola.
What is the prediction for Villa Valle vs Fiorenzuola?
Our pick is Villa Valle to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Villa Valle vs Fiorenzuola?
On our numbers Villa Valle have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Fiorenzuola 16%.
How many goals will there be in Villa Valle vs Fiorenzuola?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villa Valle vs Fiorenzuola?
Our predicted score is Villa Valle 1–0 Fiorenzuola, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Villa Valle vs Fiorenzuola?
Villa Valle vs Fiorenzuola (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
