Value bet: Rovato Vertovese to win @ 2.75 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRovato Vertovese to win ✗41% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · fair 1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.36
Fiorenzuola vs Rovato Vertovese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Sunday 25 October: Fiorenzuola v Rovato Vertovese in the Serie D Girone B, played at Stadio comunale. In the table, Fiorenzuola are 17th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 11 matches; Rovato Vertovese are 14th (lower half) with 10.
Current form
Fiorenzuola, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Pavonese, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Rovato Vertovese, last 5: DWLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Scanzorosciate, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Rovato Vertovese, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Fiorenzuola.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fiorenzuola 1.1 xG, Rovato Vertovese 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fiorenzuola 35%, draw 24%, Rovato Vertovese 41%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Rovato Vertovese to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fiorenzuola 1–1 Rovato Vertovese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fiorenzuola35%fair 2.89 · @2.49
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.00
Rovato Vertovese41%fair 2.42 · @2.75
2.32Expected goals
1.09Fiorenzuola xG
1.23Rovato Vertovese xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Fiorenzuola 1.1 – 1.2 Rovato Vertovese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rovato Vertovese to win✗
41%
2.42
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.95
Draw no bet
Rovato Vertovese (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Fiorenzuola +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.06
First team to score
Rovato Vertovese to score first
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rovato Vertovese / FT Rovato Vertovese✗
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.36
–
Recent results
Fiorenzuola – last 6
LDDDLL
18 Oct
@ Pavonese
1–2
L
10 Oct
vs Piacenza
0–0
D
4 Oct
@ Villa Valle
0–0
D
27 Sep
vs Caldiero Terme
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Brusaporto
0–1
L
16 Sep
vs Pro Palazzolo
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Rovato Vertovese – last 6
DWLDDD
18 Oct
vs Scanzorosciate
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Milan II
2–1
W
4 Oct
vs Real Calepina
0–1
L
27 Sep
@ Tritium
2–2
D
20 Sep
vs Leon
2–2
D
16 Sep
@ Virtus Verona
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fiorenzuola and Rovato Vertovese.
What is the prediction for Fiorenzuola vs Rovato Vertovese?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Fiorenzuola vs Rovato Vertovese?
On our numbers Fiorenzuola have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rovato Vertovese 41%.
How many goals will there be in Fiorenzuola vs Rovato Vertovese?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fiorenzuola vs Rovato Vertovese?
Our predicted score is Fiorenzuola 1–1 Rovato Vertovese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Fiorenzuola vs Rovato Vertovese?
Fiorenzuola vs Rovato Vertovese (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio comunale.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
