Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Nissa to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNissa to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceNissa or draw ✗83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Nissa vs Vibonese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 27 September: Nissa v Vibonese in the Serie D Girone I. In the table, Nissa are 13th, lower half, on 12 points after 11 matches; Vibonese are 3rd (among the top four) with 24. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Nissa, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Calcio Avola, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Vibonese, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over AC Palermo, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nissa 2.1 xG, Vibonese 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 53% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nissa 61%, draw 22%, Vibonese 17%.
Lower-risk option: Nissa or draw (83%) at 1.25.
Price worth noting: Nissa to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Nissa or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nissa 2–1 Vibonese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nissa61%fair 1.65 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.20
Vibonese17%fair 5.77 · @3.40
3.16Expected goals
2.11Nissa xG
1.05Vibonese xG
53%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Nissa 2.1 – 1.1 Vibonese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nissa to win✗
61%
1.65
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Nissa or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
–
Draw no bet
Nissa (draw no bet)✗
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Nissa -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
2.00 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
Nissa to score first✗
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Nissa ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nissa / FT Nissa✗
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.08
–
Recent results
Nissa – last 6
LWDWDW
20 Sep
@ Calcio Avola
2–4
L
16 Sep
vs Trapani 1905
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Licata
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Vigor Lamezia
3–1
W
17 May
vs Reggina
0–0
D
10 May
vs Gelbison
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Vibonese – last 6
WLDWWW
20 Sep
vs AC Palermo
3–0
W
16 Sep
@ Igea Virtus
3–4
L
12 Sep
vs Siracusa
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Trapani 1905
4–0
W
10 May
vs Acireale
1–0
W
3 May
vs Acireale
1–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nissa and Vibonese.
Our pick is Nissa or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Nissa vs Vibonese?
On our numbers Nissa have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Vibonese 17%.
How many goals will there be in Nissa vs Vibonese?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nissa vs Vibonese?
Our predicted score is Nissa 2–1 Vibonese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Nissa vs Vibonese?
Nissa vs Vibonese (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
