Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultSambiase to win ✓60% · @1.70
Double chanceSambiase or draw ✓80% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.17
Sambiase vs Vigor Lamezia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sambiase welcome Vigor Lamezia for a Serie D Girone I fixture on Sunday 27 September (14:00 WAT). In the table, Sambiase are 2nd, among the top four, on 26 points after 11 matches; Vigor Lamezia are 16th (in the drop zone) with 8. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sambiase, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Milazzo, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Vigor Lamezia, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Reggina, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sambiase, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Vigor Lamezia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sambiase 1.7 xG, Vigor Lamezia 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sambiase 60%, draw 21%, Vigor Lamezia 20%.
Lower-risk option: Sambiase or draw (80%) at 1.14.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sambiase to win (60%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sambiase 1–0 Vigor Lamezia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sambiase60%fair 1.68 · @1.70
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.40
Vigor Lamezia20%fair 5.05 · @4.33
2.48Expected goals
1.67Sambiase xG
0.81Vigor Lamezia xG
46%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Sambiase 1.7 – 0.8 Vigor Lamezia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sambiase to win✓
60%
1.68
1.70
Double chance
Sambiase or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
–
Draw no bet
Sambiase (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Vigor Lamezia +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Sambiase to score first✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sambiase / FT Sambiase✓
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.17
–
Recent results
Sambiase – last 6
WWDWLL
20 Sep
@ Milazzo
1–0
W
16 Sep
vs Modica
1–0
W
13 Sep
@ Digiesse PraiaTortora
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Gela
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Salernitana
1–2
L
3 May
@ Reggina
2–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Vigor Lamezia – last 6
LDDLWD
20 Sep
vs Reggina
0–3
L
16 Sep
@ Ragusa
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Igea Virtus
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Nissa
1–3
L
3 May
vs Igea Virtus
4–1
W
26 Apr
@ Sancataldese
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sambiase and Vigor Lamezia.
What is the prediction for Sambiase vs Vigor Lamezia?
Our pick is Sambiase to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Sambiase vs Vigor Lamezia?
On our numbers Sambiase have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Vigor Lamezia 20%.
How many goals will there be in Sambiase vs Vigor Lamezia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sambiase vs Vigor Lamezia?
Our predicted score is Sambiase 1–0 Vigor Lamezia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sambiase vs Vigor Lamezia?
Sambiase vs Vigor Lamezia (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
