Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.17
Igea Virtus vs Nissa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nissa travel to face Igea Virtus on Sunday 4 October in the Serie D Girone I – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Igea Virtus are 7th, upper half, on 18 points after 11 matches; Nissa are 13th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Igea Virtus, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Reggina, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Nissa, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Vibonese, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Igea Virtus 1.8 xG, Nissa 1.5 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Igea Virtus 45%, draw 22%, Nissa 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.79, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Igea Virtus 2–1 Nissa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Igea Virtus45%fair 2.24 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.25
Nissa33%fair 3.04 · @3.10
3.26Expected goals
1.77Igea Virtus xG
1.49Nissa xG
55%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Igea Virtus 1.8 – 1.5 Nissa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Igea Virtus to win✗
45%
2.24
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
–
Draw no bet
Igea Virtus (draw no bet)
58%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Nissa +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.95 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Igea Virtus to score first✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.66
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Igea Virtus / FT Igea Virtus✗
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.17
–
Recent results
Igea Virtus – last 6
LWWDWL
27 Sep
@ Reggina
0–2
L
20 Sep
@ Trapani 1905
3–1
W
16 Sep
vs Vibonese
4–3
W
12 Sep
@ Vigor Lamezia
2–2
D
6 Sep
vs Calcio Avola
4–2
W
3 May
@ Vigor Lamezia
1–4
L
2.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Nissa – last 6
LLWDWD
27 Sep
vs Vibonese
0–2
L
20 Sep
@ Calcio Avola
2–4
L
16 Sep
vs Trapani 1905
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Licata
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Vigor Lamezia
3–1
W
17 May
vs Reggina
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Igea Virtus and Nissa.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Igea Virtus vs Nissa?
On our numbers Igea Virtus have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nissa 33%.
How many goals will there be in Igea Virtus vs Nissa?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Igea Virtus vs Nissa?
Our predicted score is Igea Virtus 2–1 Nissa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Igea Virtus vs Nissa?
Igea Virtus vs Nissa (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
