Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.98
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.57
Licata vs Sambiase: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 4 October the Serie D Girone I brings Licata against Sambiase. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Licata are 11th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Sambiase are 2nd (among the top four) with 26. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Licata, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Enna, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Sambiase, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Vigor Lamezia, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sambiase, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.6 for Licata.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Licata 1.1 xG, Sambiase 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Licata 31%, draw 23%, Sambiase 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Licata 1–1 Sambiase. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Licata31%fair 3.21 · @3.00
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.10
Sambiase46%fair 2.18 · @2.20
2.48Expected goals
1.09Licata xG
1.40Sambiase xG
49%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Licata 1.1 – 1.4 Sambiase expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sambiase to win✗
46%
2.18
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
–
Draw no bet
Sambiase (draw no bet)✗
60%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Licata +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Sambiase to score first✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sambiase / FT Sambiase✗
26%
3.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.57
–
Recent results
Licata – last 5
WWDDL
26 Sep
@ Enna
3–0
W
20 Sep
vs Ragusa
1–0
W
16 Sep
@ CastrumFavara
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Nissa
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Reggina
0–5
L
1.2Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Sambiase – last 6
WWWDWL
27 Sep
vs Vigor Lamezia
4–1
W
20 Sep
@ Milazzo
1–0
W
16 Sep
vs Modica
1–0
W
13 Sep
@ Digiesse PraiaTortora
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Gela
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Salernitana
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Licata and Sambiase.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Licata vs Sambiase?
On our numbers Licata have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sambiase 46%.
How many goals will there be in Licata vs Sambiase?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Licata vs Sambiase?
Our predicted score is Licata 1–1 Sambiase, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Licata vs Sambiase?
Licata vs Sambiase (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
