Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Scandicci to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultScandicci to win ✓55% · @1.95
Double chanceScandicci or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.54
Scandicci vs San Donato Tavarnelle: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Scandicci welcome San Donato Tavarnelle for a Serie D Girone E fixture on Sunday 25 October (14:30 WAT). In the table, Scandicci are 11th, lower half, on 15 points after 11 matches; San Donato Tavarnelle are 12th (lower half) with 14. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Scandicci, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Terranuova Traiana, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
San Donato Tavarnelle, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Tau Altopascio, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Scandicci, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for San Donato Tavarnelle.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Scandicci 1.6 xG, San Donato Tavarnelle 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Scandicci 55%, draw 24%, San Donato Tavarnelle 20%.
Lower-risk option: Scandicci or draw (80%) at 1.25.
Price worth noting: Scandicci to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Scandicci or draw (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Scandicci 1–0 San Donato Tavarnelle. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Scandicci55%fair 1.80 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.30
San Donato Tavarnelle20%fair 4.96 · @3.40
2.51Expected goals
1.64Scandicci xG
0.88San Donato Tavarnelle xG
45%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Scandicci 1.6 – 0.9 San Donato Tavarnelle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Scandicci to win✓
55%
1.80
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Scandicci or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
–
Draw no bet
Scandicci (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
San Donato Tavarnelle +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Scandicci to score first
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Scandicci / FT Scandicci✗
34%
2.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.54
–
Recent results
Scandicci – last 6
LDWDWW
18 Oct
@ Terranuova Traiana
0–1
L
11 Oct
vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
3–3
D
4 Oct
@ Sasso Marconi Zola
2–0
W
27 Sep
vs Ternana
0–0
D
20 Sep
@ Grassina
3–2
W
16 Sep
vs Rondinella
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
San Donato Tavarnelle – last 6
WLDLLD
18 Oct
vs Tau Altopascio
1–0
W
11 Oct
@ Prato
0–2
L
4 Oct
vs Mezzolara
1–1
D
27 Sep
@ Flaminia
1–2
L
20 Sep
vs Gavorrano
0–2
L
16 Sep
@ Terranuova Traiana
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Scandicci and San Donato Tavarnelle.
What is the prediction for Scandicci vs San Donato Tavarnelle?
Our pick is Scandicci or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Scandicci vs San Donato Tavarnelle?
On our numbers Scandicci have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and San Donato Tavarnelle 20%.
How many goals will there be in Scandicci vs San Donato Tavarnelle?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Scandicci vs San Donato Tavarnelle?
Our predicted score is Scandicci 1–0 San Donato Tavarnelle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Scandicci vs San Donato Tavarnelle?
Scandicci vs San Donato Tavarnelle (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.