Prato vs Mezzolara: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Prato welcome Mezzolara for a Serie D Girone E fixture on Sunday 1 November (14:30 WAT). In the table, Prato are 1st, leading the league, on 25 points after 11 matches; Mezzolara are 14th (lower half) with 11. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Prato, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Ternana, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Mezzolara, last 5: DDDDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Terranuova Traiana, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Prato, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Mezzolara.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Prato 1.8 xG, Mezzolara 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Prato 68%, draw 18%, Mezzolara 14%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.01.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.32). Most likely score in line with that pick: Prato 1–0 Mezzolara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Prato68%fair 1.48 · @1.47
Draw18%fair 5.56 · @4.50
Mezzolara14%fair 6.97 · @5.32
2.39Expected goals
1.78Prato xG
0.61Mezzolara xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–09%
From our goals model: Prato 1.8 – 0.6 Mezzolara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Prato to win✓
68%
1.48
1.47
Double chance
Prato or draw✓
86%
1.17
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
2.01
Draw no bet
Prato (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Prato -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.32
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Prato to score first✓
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Prato ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Prato / FT Prato✓
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.26
–
Recent results
Prato – last 6
LDDWWD
28 Oct
vs Ternana
1–2
L
25 Oct
vs Flaminia
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Gavorrano
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs San Donato Tavarnelle
2–0
W
7 Oct
@ Terranuova Traiana
3–0
W
3 Oct
@ Terranuova Traiana
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mezzolara – last 6
DDDDDD
25 Oct
vs Terranuova Traiana
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Flaminia
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Sasso Marconi Zola
2–2
D
4 Oct
@ San Donato Tavarnelle
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs Grassina
0–0
D
20 Sep
@ Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Prato and Mezzolara.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win Prato vs Mezzolara?
On our numbers Prato have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Mezzolara 14%.
How many goals will there be in Prato vs Mezzolara?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Prato vs Mezzolara?
Our predicted score is Prato 1–0 Mezzolara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Prato vs Mezzolara?
Prato vs Mezzolara (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
