Sporting Trestina 36%Draw 23%Termoli Calcio 41%Expected goals 0.95 – 1.05
64%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: Termoli Calcio to win @ 2.90 – our chance 41% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTermoli Calcio to win ✗41% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓64% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.05
Sporting Trestina vs Termoli Calcio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 27 September the Serie D Girone F brings Sporting Trestina against Termoli Calcio. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Sporting Trestina are 14th, lower half, on 11 points after 11 matches; Termoli Calcio are 11th (lower half) with 13. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sporting Trestina, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Atletico Ascoli, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Termoli Calcio, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Vigor Senigallia, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Termoli Calcio, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.3 for Sporting Trestina.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sporting Trestina 1.0 xG, Termoli Calcio 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting Trestina 36%, draw 23%, Termoli Calcio 41%.
Price worth noting: Termoli Calcio to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting Trestina 0–1 Termoli Calcio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sporting Trestina36%fair 2.80 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.00
Termoli Calcio41%fair 2.45 · @2.90
2.00Expected goals
0.95Sporting Trestina xG
1.05Termoli Calcio xG
43%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Sporting Trestina 1.0 – 1.0 Termoli Calcio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Termoli Calcio to win✗
41%
2.45
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
–
Draw no bet
Termoli Calcio (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Sporting Trestina +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Termoli Calcio to score first✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.05
–
Recent results
Sporting Trestina – last 6
LLDLLD
20 Sep
@ Atletico Ascoli
0–1
L
16 Sep
vs Fossombrone
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Lanciano FC
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Vigor Senigallia
2–5
L
29 Jul
@ Gubbio
0–2
L
3 May
@ Robur Siena
4–4
D
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Termoli Calcio – last 6
LDWLDL
20 Sep
vs Vigor Senigallia
1–2
L
16 Sep
@ Real Giulianova
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Angelana
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ L'Aquila
0–1
L
3 May
vs L'Aquila
1–1
D
26 Apr
@ Ostia Mare
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting Trestina and Termoli Calcio.
What is the prediction for Sporting Trestina vs Termoli Calcio?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Sporting Trestina vs Termoli Calcio?
On our numbers Sporting Trestina have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Termoli Calcio 41%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Trestina vs Termoli Calcio?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Trestina vs Termoli Calcio?
Our predicted score is Sporting Trestina 0–1 Termoli Calcio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Sporting Trestina vs Termoli Calcio?
Sporting Trestina vs Termoli Calcio (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
