Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.13 – our chance 53% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultL'Aquila to win ✓63% · @1.55
Double chanceL'Aquila or draw ✓86% · fair 1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.13
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.78
L'Aquila vs Foligno Calcio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Sunday 25 October: L'Aquila v Foligno Calcio in the Serie D Girone F. In the table, L'Aquila are 2nd, among the top four, on 25 points after 11 matches; Foligno Calcio are 4th (among the top four) with 20.
Current form
L'Aquila, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Recanatese, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.
Foligno Calcio, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Real Giulianova, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours L'Aquila, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.7 for Foligno Calcio.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give L'Aquila 1.8 xG, Foligno Calcio 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – L'Aquila 63%, draw 23%, Foligno Calcio 14%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.13.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.13 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: L'Aquila 1–0 Foligno Calcio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
L'Aquila63%fair 1.59 · @1.55
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.65
Foligno Calcio14%fair 7.02 · @5.82
2.47Expected goals
1.77L'Aquila xG
0.70Foligno Calcio xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: L'Aquila 1.8 – 0.7 Foligno Calcio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
L'Aquila to win✓
63%
1.59
1.55
Double chance
L'Aquila or draw✓
86%
1.17
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
2.13 ▲
Draw no bet
L'Aquila (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
L'Aquila -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
1.09
First team to score
L'Aquila to score first✓
66%
1.53
–
Half-time result
L'Aquila ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT L'Aquila / FT L'Aquila✓
39%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.78
–
Recent results
L'Aquila – last 6
WWWWWD
18 Oct
@ Recanatese
3–2
W
11 Oct
vs Santegidiese
2–1
W
7 Oct
vs Termoli Calcio
5–2
W
4 Oct
@ Pietralunga
3–0
W
27 Sep
vs Teramo
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Ancona
2–2
D
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Foligno Calcio – last 6
LWWDWL
18 Oct
vs Real Giulianova
0–1
L
11 Oct
@ Maceratese
2–0
W
4 Oct
vs Angelana
1–0
W
27 Sep
@ Montecchio Gallo
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs Notaresco
1–0
W
16 Sep
@ Recanatese
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between L'Aquila and Foligno Calcio.
What is the prediction for L'Aquila vs Foligno Calcio?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win L'Aquila vs Foligno Calcio?
On our numbers L'Aquila have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Foligno Calcio 14%.
How many goals will there be in L'Aquila vs Foligno Calcio?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for L'Aquila vs Foligno Calcio?
Our predicted score is L'Aquila 1–0 Foligno Calcio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is L'Aquila vs Foligno Calcio?
L'Aquila vs Foligno Calcio (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
