Value bet: Ancona to win @ 2.60 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAncona to win ✓41% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.65
Vigor Senigallia vs Ancona: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 25 October: Vigor Senigallia v Ancona in the Serie D Girone F. In the table, Vigor Senigallia are 5th, upper half, on 19 points after 11 matches; Ancona are 3rd (among the top four) with 21. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Vigor Senigallia, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Santegidiese, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Ancona, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Fossombrone, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Vigor Senigallia 0–1 Ancona.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vigor Senigallia 1.4 xG, Ancona 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vigor Senigallia 38%, draw 21%, Ancona 41%.
Price worth noting: Ancona to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vigor Senigallia 1–2 Ancona. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vigor Senigallia38%fair 2.64 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.40
Ancona41%fair 2.45 · @2.60
2.95Expected goals
1.44Vigor Senigallia xG
1.51Ancona xG
53%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Vigor Senigallia 1.4 – 1.5 Ancona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Vigor Senigallia vs Ancona?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Vigor Senigallia vs Ancona?
On our numbers Vigor Senigallia have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ancona 41%.
How many goals will there be in Vigor Senigallia vs Ancona?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vigor Senigallia vs Ancona?
Our predicted score is Vigor Senigallia 1–2 Ancona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Vigor Senigallia vs Ancona?
Vigor Senigallia vs Ancona (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
