Value bet: Città di Anagni to win @ 3.34 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPaganese to win ✗44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · fair 1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.16
Città di Anagni vs Paganese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Paganese travel to face Città di Anagni on Sunday 25 October in the Serie D Girone G – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Città di Anagni are 12th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Paganese are 10th (lower half) with 14. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Città di Anagni, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sarnese, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Paganese, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Venafro, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Città di Anagni, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Paganese.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Città di Anagni 1.3 xG, Paganese 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Città di Anagni 34%, draw 22%, Paganese 44%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Città di Anagni to win @3.34 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Città di Anagni 1–1 Paganese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Città di Anagni34%fair 2.96 · @3.34
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.30
Paganese44%fair 2.28 · @2.05
2.84Expected goals
1.31Città di Anagni xG
1.53Paganese xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: Città di Anagni 1.3 – 1.5 Paganese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paganese to win✗
44%
2.28
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.83
Draw no bet
Paganese (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Città di Anagni +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.29
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.10
First team to score
Paganese to score first✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paganese / FT Paganese✗
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.16
–
Recent results
Città di Anagni – last 6
LWDWWL
18 Oct
@ Sarnese
0–1
L
11 Oct
vs Gelbison
3–1
W
4 Oct
@ Trastevere
0–0
D
27 Sep
vs Afragolese
4–0
W
20 Sep
@ Latte Dolce
2–1
W
16 Sep
vs Unipomezia
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Paganese – last 6
LWDLLW
18 Oct
@ Venafro
0–1
L
11 Oct
vs Budoni
3–0
W
7 Oct
vs Real Normanna
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Sarnese
1–2
L
27 Sep
vs Gelbison
2–3
L
20 Sep
@ Trastevere
6–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Città di Anagni and Paganese.
What is the prediction for Città di Anagni vs Paganese?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Città di Anagni vs Paganese?
On our numbers Città di Anagni have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Paganese 44%.
How many goals will there be in Città di Anagni vs Paganese?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Città di Anagni vs Paganese?
Our predicted score is Città di Anagni 1–1 Paganese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Città di Anagni vs Paganese?
Città di Anagni vs Paganese (Serie D Girone G) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
