Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGelbison to win ✗43% · @2.44
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · fair 1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.53
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Gelbison: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Sunday 25 October: Sarrabus Ogliastra v Gelbison in the Serie D Girone G. In the table, Sarrabus Ogliastra are 15th, lower half, on 12 points after 11 matches; Gelbison are 16th (in the drop zone) with 11. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sarrabus Ogliastra, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Trastevere, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Gelbison, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Ossese, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Gelbison, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Sarrabus Ogliastra.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sarrabus Ogliastra 1.2 xG, Gelbison 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sarrabus Ogliastra 34%, draw 23%, Gelbison 43%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarrabus Ogliastra 1–1 Gelbison. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sarrabus Ogliastra34%fair 2.93 · @2.75
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.05
Gelbison43%fair 2.35 · @2.44
2.59Expected goals
1.20Sarrabus Ogliastra xG
1.39Gelbison xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Sarrabus Ogliastra 1.2 – 1.4 Gelbison expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gelbison to win✗
43%
2.35
2.44
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Gelbison (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Sarrabus Ogliastra +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.10
First team to score
Gelbison to score first✗
49%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gelbison / FT Gelbison✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.53
–
Recent results
Sarrabus Ogliastra – last 6
LDLLDD
18 Oct
@ Trastevere
2–3
L
11 Oct
vs Afragolese
0–0
D
7 Oct
@ Latte Dolce
0–3
L
4 Oct
@ Latte Dolce
0–1
L
27 Sep
vs Unipomezia
2–2
D
20 Sep
@ Albalonga
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gelbison – last 6
WLDLWL
18 Oct
vs Ossese
2–1
W
11 Oct
@ Città di Anagni
1–3
L
7 Oct
@ Vigor Lamezia
2–2
D
4 Oct
vs Venafro
0–1
L
27 Sep
@ Paganese
3–2
W
20 Sep
@ Sarnese
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarrabus Ogliastra and Gelbison.
What is the prediction for Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Gelbison?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Gelbison?
On our numbers Sarrabus Ogliastra have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gelbison 43%.
How many goals will there be in Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Gelbison?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Gelbison?
Our predicted score is Sarrabus Ogliastra 1–1 Gelbison, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Gelbison?
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Gelbison (Serie D Girone G) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
