Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.03 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGelbison to win ✗65% · @1.54
Double chanceGelbison or draw ✓85% · fair 1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.03
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Gelbison vs Atletico Lodigiani: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gelbison welcome Atletico Lodigiani for a Serie D Girone G fixture on Sunday 1 November (14:30 WAT). In the table, Gelbison are 16th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 11 matches; Atletico Lodigiani are 18th (in the drop zone) with 6.
Current form
Gelbison, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Igea Virtus, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Atletico Lodigiani, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Venafro, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Gelbison, collecting 0.7 points per game to 0.2 for Atletico Lodigiani.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gelbison 2.1 xG, Atletico Lodigiani 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 53% and GG at 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gelbison 65%, draw 20%, Atletico Lodigiani 15%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.03.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.03 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gelbison 2–0 Atletico Lodigiani. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gelbison65%fair 1.53 · @1.54
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @3.55
Atletico Lodigiani15%fair 6.72 · @6.22
2.95Expected goals
2.07Gelbison xG
0.87Atletico Lodigiani xG
54%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Gelbison 2.1 – 0.9 Atletico Lodigiani expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gelbison to win✗
65%
1.53
1.54
Double chance
Gelbison or draw✓
85%
1.17
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
2.03 ▲
Draw no bet
Gelbison (draw no bet)
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Gelbison -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.32
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
First team to score
Gelbison to score first
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Gelbison ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gelbison / FT Gelbison✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.15
–
Recent results
Gelbison – last 6
LLWLDL
28 Oct
vs Igea Virtus
0–1
L
25 Oct
@ Sarrabus Ogliastra
0–3
L
18 Oct
vs Ossese
2–1
W
11 Oct
@ Città di Anagni
1–3
L
7 Oct
@ Vigor Lamezia
2–2
D
4 Oct
vs Venafro
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Atletico Lodigiani – last 6
DLLLLL
25 Oct
vs Venafro
1–1
D
17 Oct
@ Afragolese
0–4
L
11 Oct
vs Sarnese
0–1
L
4 Oct
@ Unipomezia
1–3
L
27 Sep
vs Trastevere
2–3
L
20 Sep
@ Certosa V. Campagnano
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gelbison and Atletico Lodigiani.
What is the prediction for Gelbison vs Atletico Lodigiani?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Gelbison vs Atletico Lodigiani?
On our numbers Gelbison have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Atletico Lodigiani 15%.
How many goals will there be in Gelbison vs Atletico Lodigiani?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gelbison vs Atletico Lodigiani?
Our predicted score is Gelbison 2–0 Atletico Lodigiani, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Gelbison vs Atletico Lodigiani?
Gelbison vs Atletico Lodigiani (Serie D Girone G) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
