Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.16 – our chance 54% vs 46% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSarnese to win ✓63% · @1.39
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · fair 1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.16
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.49
Sarnese vs Sarrabus Ogliastra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 1 November the Serie D Girone G brings Sarnese against Sarrabus Ogliastra. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Sarnese are 1st, leading the league, on 26 points after 11 matches; Sarrabus Ogliastra are 15th (lower half) with 12. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sarnese, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Aranova, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Sarrabus Ogliastra, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Gelbison, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sarnese, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Sarrabus Ogliastra.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sarnese 1.8 xG, Sarrabus Ogliastra 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sarnese 63%, draw 18%, Sarrabus Ogliastra 19%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.16.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.16 – the bookmaker implies 46%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.32). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarnese 1–0 Sarrabus Ogliastra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sarnese63%fair 1.58 · @1.39
Draw18%fair 5.47 · @4.10
Sarrabus Ogliastra19%fair 5.38 · @7.65
2.54Expected goals
1.76Sarnese xG
0.78Sarrabus Ogliastra xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Sarnese 1.8 – 0.8 Sarrabus Ogliastra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sarnese to win✓
63%
1.58
1.39
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
2.16 ▲
Draw no bet
Sarnese (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Sarnese -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.87
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.32
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Sarnese to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Sarnese ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sarnese / FT Sarnese✓
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.49
–
Recent results
Sarnese – last 6
LWWWDW
25 Oct
@ Aranova
1–2
L
18 Oct
vs Città di Anagni
1–0
W
11 Oct
@ Atletico Lodigiani
1–0
W
4 Oct
vs Paganese
2–1
W
27 Sep
@ Ossese
2–2
D
20 Sep
vs Gelbison
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sarrabus Ogliastra – last 6
WLDLLD
25 Oct
vs Gelbison
3–0
W
18 Oct
@ Trastevere
2–3
L
11 Oct
vs Afragolese
0–0
D
7 Oct
@ Latte Dolce
0–3
L
4 Oct
@ Latte Dolce
0–1
L
27 Sep
vs Unipomezia
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarnese and Sarrabus Ogliastra.
What is the prediction for Sarnese vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win Sarnese vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
On our numbers Sarnese have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sarrabus Ogliastra 19%.
How many goals will there be in Sarnese vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarnese vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
Our predicted score is Sarnese 1–0 Sarrabus Ogliastra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sarnese vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
Sarnese vs Sarrabus Ogliastra (Serie D Girone G) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
