Value bet: Zakho to win @ 2.45 – our chance 46% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultZakho to win ✗46% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗64% · fair 1.56
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗72% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗21% · fair 4.83
Al Minaa Basra vs Zakho: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Thursday 20 August: Al Minaa Basra v Zakho in the Iraqi League. In the table, Al Minaa Basra are 9th, upper half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Zakho are 15th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
Al Minaa Basra, last 5: DDDWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Al Shorta, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Zakho, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Ghaz Al Shamal, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Al Minaa Basra, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Zakho.
Head to head
When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Al Minaa Basra 2–2 Zakho.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Minaa Basra 0.6 xG, Zakho 0.8 xG – a total near 1.4. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Minaa Basra 30%, draw 25%, Zakho 46%.
Price worth noting: Zakho to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.38, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Minaa Basra 0–0 Zakho. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Minaa Basra30%fair 3.36 · @2.80
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @2.80
Zakho46%fair 2.20 · @2.45
1.38Expected goals
0.56Al Minaa Basra xG
0.82Zakho xG
36%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–025%
0–121%
1–014%
1–112%
0–28%
1–25%
From our goals model: Al Minaa Basra 0.6 – 0.8 Zakho expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Al Minaa Basra vs Zakho?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Al Minaa Basra vs Zakho?
On our numbers Al Minaa Basra have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Zakho 46%.
How many goals will there be in Al Minaa Basra vs Zakho?
We expect about 1.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 36% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Minaa Basra vs Zakho?
Our predicted score is Al Minaa Basra 0–0 Zakho, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.4 goals in total.
When is Al Minaa Basra vs Zakho?
Al Minaa Basra vs Zakho (Iraqi League) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
