Value bet: Ghaz Al Shamal to win @ 2.40 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGhaz Al Shamal to win ✗45% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗62% · fair 1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.79
Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al Kahrabaa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al Kahrabaa travel to face Ghaz Al Shamal on Thursday 20 August in the Iraqi League – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT. In the table, Ghaz Al Shamal are 10th, upper half, on 16 points after 13 matches; Al Kahrabaa are 18th (in the drop zone) with 11.
Current form
Al Kahrabaa, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Erbil, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ghaz Al Shamal 1.0 xG, Al Kahrabaa 0.8 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ghaz Al Shamal 45%, draw 25%, Al Kahrabaa 30%.
Price worth noting: Ghaz Al Shamal to win @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ghaz Al Shamal 1–0 Al Kahrabaa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ghaz Al Shamal45%fair 2.23 · @2.40
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @2.80
Al Kahrabaa30%fair 3.29 · @2.90
1.78Expected goals
1.02Ghaz Al Shamal xG
0.76Al Kahrabaa xG
38%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–017%
1–113%
0–113%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Ghaz Al Shamal 1.0 – 0.8 Al Kahrabaa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ghaz Al Shamal to win✗
45%
2.23
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
–
Draw no bet
Ghaz Al Shamal (draw no bet)
60%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Al Kahrabaa +1 (Asian handicap)✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.04
–
First team to score
Ghaz Al Shamal to score first✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.79
–
Recent results
Ghaz Al Shamal – last 1
L
15 Aug
@ Zakho
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Al Kahrabaa – last 6
LWDWDL
16 Aug
@ Erbil
0–2
L
27 May
@ Duhok
2–1
W
19 May
vs Gharraf
2–2
D
11 May
vs Newroz
2–1
W
6 May
@ Erbil
2–2
D
27 Apr
vs Al Karkh
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ghaz Al Shamal and Al Kahrabaa.
What is the prediction for Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al Kahrabaa?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al Kahrabaa?
On our numbers Ghaz Al Shamal have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Al Kahrabaa 30%.
How many goals will there be in Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al Kahrabaa?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al Kahrabaa?
Our predicted score is Ghaz Al Shamal 1–0 Al Kahrabaa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al Kahrabaa?
Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al Kahrabaa (Iraqi League) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
