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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tacuarembo v Fenix: numbers & prediction

0–2
FT

Fenix

LDDWL
Tacuarembo 36%Draw 24%Fenix 40% Expected goals 1.08 – 1.15
64%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultFenix to win ✓40% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.03

Tacuarembo vs Fenix: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:30 WAT, Sunday 23 August: Tacuarembo v Fenix in the Segunda División. In the table, Tacuarembo are 13th, in the drop zone, on 26 points after 25 matches; Fenix are 11th (lower half) with 31.

Current form

Tacuarembo, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Rentistas, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Fenix, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Plaza Colonia, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Fenix 1–2 Tacuarembo. The last 2 head-to-heads: Tacuarembo 1 win, Fenix 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tacuarembo 1.1 xG, Fenix 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tacuarembo 36%, draw 24%, Fenix 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.05.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tacuarembo 1–1 Fenix. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tacuarembo36%fair 2.77 · @2.90
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.00
Fenix40%fair 2.51 · @2.38
2.22Expected goals
1.08Tacuarembo xG
1.15Fenix xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: Tacuarembo 1.1 – 1.1 Fenix expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFenix to win ✓40%2.512.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.982.05
Draw no betFenix (draw no bet) ✓52%1.91–
Asian handicapTacuarembo +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.571.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓62%1.611.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
First team to scoreFenix to score first ✓46%2.17–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fenix / FT Fenix ✓21%4.74–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%13.03–

Recent results

Tacuarembo – last 6

WDLLDL
16 Aug@ Rentistas1–0W
9 Aug@ Miramar1–1D
25 Julvs Plaza Colonia0–2L
13 Jul@ La Luz0–2L
5 Julvs Cerrito0–0D
27 Jun@ Atenas0–2L
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Fenix – last 6

LDDWLW
16 Augvs Plaza Colonia1–4L
8 Augvs La Luz0–0D
2 Aug@ Cerrito1–1D
26 Julvs Atenas1–0W
13 Jul@ Paysandu0–1L
5 Julvs Sportivo Huracan2–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Fenix v Tacuarembo1–2
5 Apr 2026Fenix v Tacuarembo3–2
Tacuarembo vs Fenix head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Oriental6411+313
2Plaza Colonia6330+712
3Fenix6321+611
4Sportivo Huracan6240+310
5Colón6231+39
6Uruguay Montevideo6231+29
7Rentistas6231+19
8Cerrito623109
9La Luz6141-17
10Miramar6123-45
11Paysandu6114-34
12Atenas6114-64
13CA River Plate6114-74
14Tacuarembo6033-43

More Segunda División predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tacuarembo vs Fenix?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Tacuarembo vs Fenix?

On our numbers Tacuarembo have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fenix 40%.

How many goals will there be in Tacuarembo vs Fenix?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tacuarembo vs Fenix?

Our predicted score is Tacuarembo 1–1 Fenix, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Tacuarembo vs Fenix?

Tacuarembo vs Fenix (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.