Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultFenix to win ✓40% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.03
Tacuarembo vs Fenix: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Sunday 23 August: Tacuarembo v Fenix in the Segunda División. In the table, Tacuarembo are 13th, in the drop zone, on 26 points after 25 matches; Fenix are 11th (lower half) with 31.
Current form
Tacuarembo, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Rentistas, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Fenix, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Plaza Colonia, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Fenix 1–2 Tacuarembo. The last 2 head-to-heads: Tacuarembo 1 win, Fenix 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tacuarembo 1.1 xG, Fenix 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tacuarembo 36%, draw 24%, Fenix 40%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.05.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tacuarembo 1–1 Fenix. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tacuarembo36%fair 2.77 · @2.90
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.00
Fenix40%fair 2.51 · @2.38
2.22Expected goals
1.08Tacuarembo xG
1.15Fenix xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Tacuarembo 1.1 – 1.1 Fenix expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Tacuarembo vs Fenix?
On our numbers Tacuarembo have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fenix 40%.
How many goals will there be in Tacuarembo vs Fenix?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tacuarembo vs Fenix?
Our predicted score is Tacuarembo 1–1 Fenix, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Tacuarembo vs Fenix?
Tacuarembo vs Fenix (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.