Wednesday 11 November 2026 14 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

La Luz v Oriental: numbers & prediction

La Luz

LDLWW
0–2
FT
La Luz 38%Draw 24%Oriental 38% Expected goals 1.06 – 1.06
54%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.84 · bookmaker 2.05 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
2.05Odds

Picks by market

ResultLa Luz to win ✗38% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.97

La Luz vs Oriental: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 23 August the Segunda División brings La Luz against Oriental. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, La Luz are 9th, lower half, on 34 points after 25 matches; Oriental are 6th (upper half) with 34. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

La Luz, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Colón, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Oriental, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cerrito, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (18 May 2026) it ended Oriental 0–0 La Luz.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give La Luz 1.1 xG, Oriental 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – La Luz 38%, draw 24%, Oriental 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.05.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.84, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: La Luz 1–1 Oriental. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

La Luz38%fair 2.63 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @2.90
Oriental38%fair 2.65 · @2.62
2.12Expected goals
1.06La Luz xG
1.06Oriental xG
54%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–113%
0–012%
2–17%
1–27%

From our goals model: La Luz 1.1 – 1.1 Oriental expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLa Luz to win ✗38%2.632.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.842.05 ▲
Draw no betLa Luz (draw no bet) ✗50%2.00–
Asian handicapOriental +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓64%1.55–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.07–
First team to scoreLa Luz to score first ✗44%2.27–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗20%4.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7%13.97–

Recent results

La Luz – last 6

LDLWWL
17 Aug@ Colón1–2L
8 Aug@ Fenix0–0D
1 Augvs Rentistas2–5L
26 Jul@ Miramar1–0W
13 Julvs Tacuarembo2–0W
4 Jul@ Plaza Colonia0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Oriental – last 6

DLLWDL
14 Aug@ Cerrito1–1D
9 Augvs Atenas0–1L
3 Aug@ Paysandu1–2L
18 Julvs Sportivo Huracan1–0W
12 Jul@ Uruguay Montevideo1–1D
5 Julvs CA River Plate1–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 May 2026Oriental v La Luz0–0
La Luz vs Oriental head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Oriental6411+313
2Plaza Colonia6330+712
3Fenix6321+611
4Sportivo Huracan6240+310
5Colón6231+39
6Uruguay Montevideo6231+29
7Rentistas6231+19
8Cerrito623109
9La Luz6141-17
10Miramar6123-45
11Paysandu6114-34
12Atenas6114-64
13CA River Plate6114-74
14Tacuarembo6033-43

More Segunda División predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for La Luz vs Oriental?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.

Who will win La Luz vs Oriental?

On our numbers La Luz have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Oriental 38%.

How many goals will there be in La Luz vs Oriental?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for La Luz vs Oriental?

Our predicted score is La Luz 1–1 Oriental, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is La Luz vs Oriental?

La Luz vs Oriental (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.