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Al Quwa Al Jawiya v Ghaz Al Shamal: numbers & prediction

Iraqi League · Iraq
Al Quwa Al Jawiya 71%Draw 21%Ghaz Al Shamal 8% Expected goals 2.06 – 0.56
71%
Betarazi pick

Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultAl Quwa Al Jawiya to win ✗71% · @1.33
Double chanceAl Quwa Al Jawiya or draw ✓92% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.66
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗15% · fair 6.48

Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Ghaz Al Shamal: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Al Quwa Al Jawiya welcome Ghaz Al Shamal for a Iraqi League fixture on Tuesday 25 August (19:45 WAT). In the table, Al Quwa Al Jawiya are 14th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Ghaz Al Shamal are 10th (upper half) with 16. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Al Quwa Al Jawiya, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Erbil, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2.1 xG, Ghaz Al Shamal 0.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 40%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Al Quwa Al Jawiya 71%, draw 21%, Ghaz Al Shamal 8%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win (71%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2–0 Ghaz Al Shamal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Al Quwa Al Jawiya71%fair 1.40 · @1.33
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @4.10
Ghaz Al Shamal8%fair 12.87 · @8.00
2.62Expected goals
2.06Al Quwa Al Jawiya xG
0.56Ghaz Al Shamal xG
40%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–015%
1–015%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2.1 – 0.6 Ghaz Al Shamal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAl Quwa Al Jawiya to win ✗71%1.401.33
Double chanceAl Quwa Al Jawiya or draw ✓92%1.081.05
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗60%1.66–
Draw no betAl Quwa Al Jawiya (draw no bet)90%1.11–
Asian handicapAl Quwa Al Jawiya -1 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.891.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.14–
First team to scoreAl Quwa Al Jawiya to score first ✗73%1.37–
Half-time resultAl Quwa Al Jawiya ahead at half-time ✗51%1.96–
Half-time / full-timeHT Al Quwa Al Jawiya / FT Al Quwa Al Jawiya ✗48%2.10–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗15%6.48–

Recent results

Al Quwa Al Jawiya – last 6

DDWWWL
21 Aug@ Erbil1–1D
14 Aug@ Newroz3–3D
2 Junvs Zakho3–2W
28 May@ Naft Maysan2–0W
20 Mayvs Al Zawra'a2–1W
27 Aprvs Newroz1–2L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Ghaz Al Shamal – last 2

DL
20 Augvs Al Kahrabaa1–1D
15 Aug@ Zakho0–1L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Al Quwa Al Jawiya and Ghaz Al Shamal.

Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Ghaz Al Shamal head-to-head page →

Iraqi League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Karma13931+1330
2Newroz13751+1326
3Naft13742+825
4Al Shorta13661+824
5Al-Jolan SC13652+723
6Al Zawra'a13634+521
7Erbil13553+720
8Duhok13463+418
9Al Minaa Basra13454-117
10Ghaz Al Shamal13373-116
11Al Talaba13373-316
12Diyala13355-314
13Gharraf13355-614
14Al Quwa Al Jawiya13274013
15Zakho13346-713
16Al Karkh13337-512
17Mosul13337-812
18Al Kahrabaa13256-611
19Naft Maysan13166-119
20Karbala13148-147

More Iraqi League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Ghaz Al Shamal?

Our pick is Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Ghaz Al Shamal?

On our numbers Al Quwa Al Jawiya have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ghaz Al Shamal 8%.

How many goals will there be in Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Ghaz Al Shamal?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Ghaz Al Shamal?

Our predicted score is Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2–0 Ghaz Al Shamal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Ghaz Al Shamal?

Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Ghaz Al Shamal (Iraqi League) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.