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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Zakho v Diyala: numbers & prediction

Iraqi League · Iraq

Zakho

LWLLD
2–2
FT

Diyala

LWWLL
Zakho 60%Draw 21%Diyala 19% Expected goals 1.69 – 0.81
60%
Betarazi pick

Zakho to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultZakho to win ✗60% · @1.60
Double chanceZakho or draw ✓81% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.18

Zakho vs Diyala: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:45 WAT, Tuesday 25 August: Zakho v Diyala in the Iraqi League. In the table, Zakho are 15th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Diyala are 12th (lower half) with 14. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Zakho, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Al Minaa Basra, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Diyala, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Mosul, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Diyala, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Zakho.

Head to head

When they last met (11 May 2026) it ended Zakho 1–2 Diyala.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Zakho 1.7 xG, Diyala 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 43%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Zakho 60%, draw 21%, Diyala 19%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Zakho to win (60%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zakho 1–0 Diyala. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Zakho60%fair 1.67 · @1.60
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.40
Diyala19%fair 5.25 · @5.00
2.50Expected goals
1.69Zakho xG
0.81Diyala xG
43%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%

From our goals model: Zakho 1.7 – 0.8 Diyala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultZakho to win ✗60%1.671.60
Double chanceZakho or draw ✓81%1.241.11
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗57%1.76–
Draw no betZakho (draw no bet)76%1.32–
Asian handicapDiyala +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.831.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreZakho to score first62%1.61–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Zakho / FT Zakho ✗36%2.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%7.18–

Recent results

Zakho – last 6

LWLLDL
20 Aug@ Al Minaa Basra1–2L
15 Augvs Ghaz Al Shamal1–0W
2 Jun@ Al Quwa Al Jawiya2–3L
28 Mayvs Erbil1–2L
24 May@ Al Minaa Basra2–2D
20 May@ Newroz1–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Diyala – last 6

LWWLLW
21 Aug@ Mosul1–2L
15 Augvs Al Talaba2–1W
1 Junvs Duhok1–0W
27 May@ Al-Karma0–1L
19 Mayvs Baghdad1–4L
11 May@ Zakho2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 May 2026Zakho v Diyala1–2
Zakho vs Diyala head-to-head page →

Iraqi League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Karma13931+1330
2Newroz13751+1326
3Naft13742+825
4Al Shorta13661+824
5Al-Jolan SC13652+723
6Al Zawra'a13634+521
7Erbil13553+720
8Duhok13463+418
9Al Minaa Basra13454-117
10Ghaz Al Shamal13373-116
11Al Talaba13373-316
12Diyala13355-314
13Gharraf13355-614
14Al Quwa Al Jawiya13274013
15Zakho13346-713
16Al Karkh13337-512
17Mosul13337-812
18Al Kahrabaa13256-611
19Naft Maysan13166-119
20Karbala13148-147

More Iraqi League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Zakho vs Diyala?

Our pick is Zakho to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Zakho vs Diyala?

On our numbers Zakho have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Diyala 19%.

How many goals will there be in Zakho vs Diyala?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Zakho vs Diyala?

Our predicted score is Zakho 1–0 Diyala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Zakho vs Diyala?

Zakho vs Diyala (Iraqi League) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.