Duhok 62%Draw 23%Ghaz Al Shamal 15%Expected goals 1.56 – 0.59
62%
Betarazi pick
Duhok to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultDuhok to win ✗62% · @1.65
Double chanceDuhok or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.48
Duhok vs Ghaz Al Shamal: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:45 WAT, Tuesday 8 September: Duhok v Ghaz Al Shamal in the Iraqi League, played at Duhok Stadium. In the table, Duhok are 8th, upper half, on 18 points after 13 matches; Ghaz Al Shamal are 10th (upper half) with 16. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Duhok, last 5: WDDDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Al Quwa Al Jawiya, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Ghaz Al Shamal, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Al-Jolan SC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Duhok 1.6 xG, Ghaz Al Shamal 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Duhok 62%, draw 23%, Ghaz Al Shamal 15%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Duhok to win (62%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.60, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Duhok 1–0 Ghaz Al Shamal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Duhok62%fair 1.60 · @1.65
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.30
Ghaz Al Shamal15%fair 6.64 · @4.75
2.14Expected goals
1.56Duhok xG
0.59Ghaz Al Shamal xG
42%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Duhok 1.6 – 0.6 Ghaz Al Shamal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Duhok to win✗
62%
1.60
1.65
Double chance
Duhok or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
–
Draw no bet
Duhok (draw no bet)
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Duhok -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Duhok to score first
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Duhok / FT Duhok✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.48
–
Recent results
Duhok – last 6
WDDDDL
3 Sep
vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2–1
W
30 Aug
@ Newroz
0–0
D
26 Aug
@ Naft
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Al Talaba
3–3
D
16 Aug
vs Gharraf
1–1
D
1 Jun
@ Diyala
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ghaz Al Shamal – last 5
LWDDL
4 Sep
vs Al-Jolan SC
0–1
L
30 Aug
@ Gharraf
1–0
W
25 Aug
@ Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1–1
D
20 Aug
vs Al Kahrabaa
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Zakho
0–1
L
0.6Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Duhok and Ghaz Al Shamal.
What is the prediction for Duhok vs Ghaz Al Shamal?
Our pick is Duhok to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Duhok vs Ghaz Al Shamal?
On our numbers Duhok have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ghaz Al Shamal 15%.
How many goals will there be in Duhok vs Ghaz Al Shamal?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Duhok vs Ghaz Al Shamal?
Our predicted score is Duhok 1–0 Ghaz Al Shamal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Duhok vs Ghaz Al Shamal?
Duhok vs Ghaz Al Shamal (Iraqi League) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time) at Duhok Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
