Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.77
Erbil vs Diyala: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 8 September the Iraqi League brings Erbil against Diyala at Franso Hariri Stadium. Kick-off: 16:45 WAT. In the table, Erbil are 7th, upper half, on 20 points after 13 matches; Diyala are 12th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Erbil, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Al Shorta, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Diyala, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Al-Karma, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Erbil, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Diyala.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Mar 2026) it ended Erbil 2–0 Diyala.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Erbil 2.0 xG, Diyala 0.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 42%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Erbil 69%, draw 21%, Diyala 11%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Erbil to win (69%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Erbil 1–0 Diyala. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Erbil69%fair 1.46 · @1.48
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.75
Diyala11%fair 9.42 · @6.00
2.58Expected goals
1.96Erbil xG
0.63Diyala xG
42%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–014%
3–09%
1–19%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Erbil 2.0 – 0.6 Diyala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Erbil to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Erbil vs Diyala?
On our numbers Erbil have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Diyala 11%.
How many goals will there be in Erbil vs Diyala?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Erbil vs Diyala?
Our predicted score is Erbil 1–0 Diyala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Erbil vs Diyala?
Erbil vs Diyala (Iraqi League) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time) at Franso Hariri Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
