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Al Karkh v Naft Maysan: numbers & prediction

Iraqi League · Iraq
3–2
FT
Al Karkh 42%Draw 24%Naft Maysan 34% Expected goals 1.21 – 1.04
60%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultAl Karkh to win ✓42% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.85

Al Karkh vs Naft Maysan: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 17 September the Iraqi League brings Al Karkh against Naft Maysan. Kick-off: 16:45 WAT. In the table, Al Karkh are 16th, lower half, on 12 points after 13 matches; Naft Maysan are 19th (in the drop zone) with 9. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Al Karkh, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Duhok, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Naft Maysan, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Al Talaba, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Mar 2026) it ended Al Karkh 1–1 Naft Maysan.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Al Karkh 1.2 xG, Naft Maysan 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 46%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Al Karkh 42%, draw 24%, Naft Maysan 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Karkh 1–1 Naft Maysan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Al Karkh42%fair 2.39 · @2.35
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @2.90
Naft Maysan34%fair 2.97 · @2.90
2.25Expected goals
1.21Al Karkh xG
1.04Naft Maysan xG
46%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Al Karkh 1.2 – 1.0 Naft Maysan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAl Karkh to win ✓42%2.392.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗54%1.84–
Draw no betAl Karkh (draw no bet) ✓55%1.80–
Asian handicapNaft Maysan +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗60%1.651.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81%1.23–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗92%1.08–
First team to scoreAl Karkh to score first48%2.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Al Karkh / FT Al Karkh ✓23%4.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.85–

Recent results

Al Karkh – last 6

WLLDLL
13 Sepvs Duhok3–2W
9 Sep@ Al Talaba2–3L
4 Sep@ Karbala0–1L
29 Augvs Al Kahrabaa2–2D
25 Augvs Erbil0–1L
20 Aug@ Al-Jolan SC0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Naft Maysan – last 6

WDLDLD
13 Sepvs Al Talaba2–0W
9 Sep@ Al Minaa Basra1–1D
4 Sepvs Newroz0–2L
29 Aug@ Al Quwa Al Jawiya1–1D
25 Aug@ Al Zawra'a0–4L
20 Augvs Naft0–0D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Mar 2026Al Karkh v Naft Maysan1–1
Al Karkh vs Naft Maysan head-to-head page →

Iraqi League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Karma13931+1330
2Newroz13751+1326
3Naft13742+825
4Al Shorta13661+824
5Al-Jolan SC13652+723
6Al Zawra'a13634+521
7Erbil13553+720
8Duhok13463+418
9Al Minaa Basra13454-117
10Ghaz Al Shamal13373-116
11Al Talaba13373-316
12Diyala13355-314
13Gharraf13355-614
14Al Quwa Al Jawiya13274013
15Zakho13346-713
16Al Karkh13337-512
17Mosul13337-812
18Al Kahrabaa13256-611
19Naft Maysan13166-119
20Karbala13148-147

More Iraqi League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Al Karkh vs Naft Maysan?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Al Karkh vs Naft Maysan?

On our numbers Al Karkh have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Naft Maysan 34%.

How many goals will there be in Al Karkh vs Naft Maysan?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Al Karkh vs Naft Maysan?

Our predicted score is Al Karkh 1–1 Naft Maysan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Al Karkh vs Naft Maysan?

Al Karkh vs Naft Maysan (Iraqi League) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.