Al Zawra'a 64%Draw 24%Gharraf 12%Expected goals 1.73 – 0.63
64%
Betarazi pick
Al Zawra'a to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Picks by market
ResultAl Zawra'a to win ✓64% · @1.45
Double chanceAl Zawra'a or draw ✓88% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.09
Al Zawra'a vs Gharraf: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Thursday 17 September: Al Zawra'a v Gharraf in the Iraqi League. In the table, Al Zawra'a are 6th, upper half, on 21 points after 13 matches; Gharraf are 13th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Al Zawra'a, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Al Quwa Al Jawiya, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Gharraf, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Diyala, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Al Zawra'a, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.7 for Gharraf.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Mar 2026) it ended Gharraf 0–1 Al Zawra'a.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Zawra'a 1.7 xG, Gharraf 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 43%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Zawra'a 64%, draw 24%, Gharraf 12%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Al Zawra'a to win (64%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Zawra'a 1–0 Gharraf. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Zawra'a64%fair 1.57 · @1.45
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.75
Gharraf12%fair 8.00 · @6.25
2.35Expected goals
1.73Al Zawra'a xG
0.63Gharraf xG
43%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Al Zawra'a 1.7 – 0.6 Gharraf expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Al Zawra'a to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Al Zawra'a vs Gharraf?
On our numbers Al Zawra'a have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gharraf 12%.
How many goals will there be in Al Zawra'a vs Gharraf?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Zawra'a vs Gharraf?
Our predicted score is Al Zawra'a 1–0 Gharraf, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Al Zawra'a vs Gharraf?
Al Zawra'a vs Gharraf (Iraqi League) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
