Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultAl-Karma to win ✓66% · @1.62
Double chanceAl-Karma or draw ✓89% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.46
Al-Karma vs Zakho: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al-Karma welcome Zakho for a Iraqi League fixture on Saturday 19 September (19:00 WAT). In the table, Al-Karma are 1st, leading the league, on 30 points after 13 matches; Zakho are 15th (lower half) with 13. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Al-Karma, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Erbil, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Zakho, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Mosul, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Al-Karma, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.0 for Zakho.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Mar 2026) it ended Zakho 2–2 Al-Karma.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al-Karma 1.9 xG, Zakho 0.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 44%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Karma 66%, draw 23%, Zakho 11%.
Lower-risk option: Al-Karma or draw (89%) at 1.14.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Al-Karma to win (66%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.51, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Karma 1–0 Zakho. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al-Karma66%fair 1.51 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.50
Zakho11%fair 8.88 · @4.75
2.48Expected goals
1.85Al-Karma xG
0.63Zakho xG
44%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Al-Karma 1.9 – 0.6 Zakho expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Al-Karma to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Al-Karma vs Zakho?
On our numbers Al-Karma have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Zakho 11%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Karma vs Zakho?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Karma vs Zakho?
Our predicted score is Al-Karma 1–0 Zakho, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Al-Karma vs Zakho?
Al-Karma vs Zakho (Iraqi League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
