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Al-Karma v Al Karkh: numbers & prediction

Iraqi League · Iraq
3–2
FT
Al-Karma 66%Draw 20%Al Karkh 15% Expected goals 1.91 – 0.75
66%
Betarazi pick

Al-Karma to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultAl-Karma to win ✓66% · @1.30
Double chanceAl-Karma or draw ✓85% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.46

Al-Karma vs Al Karkh: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 10 October the Iraqi League brings Al-Karma against Al Karkh. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT. In the table, Al-Karma are 1st, leading the league, on 30 points after 13 matches; Al Karkh are 16th (lower half) with 12. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Al-Karma, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Zakho, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Al Karkh, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Naft Maysan, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Al-Karma, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.2 for Al Karkh.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Apr 2026) it ended Al Karkh 0–0 Al-Karma.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Al-Karma 1.9 xG, Al Karkh 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 43%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Karma 66%, draw 20%, Al Karkh 15%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Al-Karma to win (66%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Karma 1–0 Al Karkh. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Al-Karma66%fair 1.52 · @1.30
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @4.33
Al Karkh15%fair 6.83 · @8.50
2.66Expected goals
1.91Al-Karma xG
0.75Al Karkh xG
43%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%

From our goals model: Al-Karma 1.9 – 0.7 Al Karkh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAl-Karma to win ✓66%1.521.30
Double chanceAl-Karma or draw ✓85%1.171.04
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗57%1.77–
Draw no betAl-Karma (draw no bet) ✓82%1.22–
Asian handicapAl-Karma -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.971.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.38–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗87%1.15–
First team to scoreAl-Karma to score first ✓67%1.50–
Half-time resultAl-Karma ahead at half-time ✓46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Al-Karma / FT Al-Karma ✓41%2.42–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.46–

Recent results

Al-Karma – last 6

WWWWWD
19 Sepvs Zakho1–0W
14 Sep@ Erbil2–1W
9 Sepvs Naft3–0W
3 Sep@ Diyala2–1W
30 Augvs Karbala2–0W
26 Aug@ Al Kahrabaa1–1D
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Al Karkh – last 6

WWLLDL
17 Sepvs Naft Maysan3–2W
13 Sepvs Duhok3–2W
9 Sep@ Al Talaba2–3L
4 Sep@ Karbala0–1L
29 Augvs Al Kahrabaa2–2D
25 Augvs Erbil0–1L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Apr 2026Al Karkh v Al-Karma0–0
Al-Karma vs Al Karkh head-to-head page →

Iraqi League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Karma13931+1330
2Newroz13751+1326
3Naft13742+825
4Al Shorta13661+824
5Al-Jolan SC13652+723
6Al Zawra'a13634+521
7Erbil13553+720
8Duhok13463+418
9Al Minaa Basra13454-117
10Ghaz Al Shamal13373-116
11Al Talaba13373-316
12Diyala13355-314
13Gharraf13355-614
14Al Quwa Al Jawiya13274013
15Zakho13346-713
16Al Karkh13337-512
17Mosul13337-812
18Al Kahrabaa13256-611
19Naft Maysan13166-119
20Karbala13148-147

More Iraqi League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Al-Karma vs Al Karkh?

Our pick is Al-Karma to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Al-Karma vs Al Karkh?

On our numbers Al-Karma have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Al Karkh 15%.

How many goals will there be in Al-Karma vs Al Karkh?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Al-Karma vs Al Karkh?

Our predicted score is Al-Karma 1–0 Al Karkh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Al-Karma vs Al Karkh?

Al-Karma vs Al Karkh (Iraqi League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.