Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Newroz to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultZakho to win ✗40% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 8.00
Zakho vs Newroz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 9 October the Iraqi League brings Zakho against Newroz. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Zakho are 15th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Newroz are 2nd (among the top four) with 26. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Zakho, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Al-Karma, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Newroz, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Ghaz Al Shamal, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Newroz, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Zakho.
Head to head
When they last met (20 May 2026) it ended Newroz 2–1 Zakho.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zakho 1.1 xG, Newroz 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 44%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zakho 40%, draw 23%, Newroz 37%.
Price worth noting: Newroz to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zakho 1–1 Newroz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zakho40%fair 2.48 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.20
Newroz37%fair 2.70 · @2.90
2.21Expected goals
1.14Zakho xG
1.07Newroz xG
44%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Zakho 1.1 – 1.1 Newroz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Zakho vs Newroz?
On our numbers Zakho have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Newroz 37%.
How many goals will there be in Zakho vs Newroz?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zakho vs Newroz?
Our predicted score is Zakho 1–1 Newroz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Zakho vs Newroz?
Zakho vs Newroz (Iraqi League) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
