Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultNaft to win ✗44% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.78
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓65% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.65
Gharraf vs Naft: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Thursday 22 October: Gharraf v Naft in the Iraqi League. In the table, Gharraf are 13th, lower half, on 14 points after 13 matches; Naft are 3rd (among the top four) with 25.
Current form
Gharraf, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Karbala, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Naft, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Zakho, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Naft, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.8 for Gharraf.
Head to head
When they last met (9 Apr 2026) it ended Naft 1–0 Gharraf.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gharraf 0.9 xG, Naft 1.1 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gharraf 31%, draw 25%, Naft 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gharraf 0–1 Naft. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gharraf31%fair 3.20 · @3.10
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @2.88
Naft44%fair 2.27 · @2.30
2.02Expected goals
0.89Gharraf xG
1.13Naft xG
44%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
1–113%
0–013%
1–012%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Gharraf 0.9 – 1.1 Naft expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Gharraf vs Naft?
On our numbers Gharraf have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Naft 44%.
How many goals will there be in Gharraf vs Naft?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gharraf vs Naft?
Our predicted score is Gharraf 0–1 Naft, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Gharraf vs Naft?
Gharraf vs Naft (Iraqi League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
