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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Zakho v Erbil: numbers & prediction

Iraqi League · Iraq

Zakho

LLLWD
2–1
FT

Erbil

LLDWL
Zakho 32%Draw 23%Erbil 45% Expected goals 0.96 – 1.23
59%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultErbil to win ✗45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.26

Zakho vs Erbil: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Erbil travel to face Zakho on Thursday 22 October in the Iraqi League – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Zakho are 15th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Erbil are 7th (upper half) with 20.

Current form

Zakho, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Naft, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Erbil, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Mosul, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (28 May 2026) it ended Zakho 1–2 Erbil. The last 2 head-to-heads: Zakho 1 win, Erbil 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Zakho 1.0 xG, Erbil 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Zakho 32%, draw 23%, Erbil 45%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zakho 0–1 Erbil. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Zakho32%fair 3.15 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.10
Erbil45%fair 2.21 · @2.15
2.19Expected goals
0.96Zakho xG
1.23Erbil xG
46%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%

From our goals model: Zakho 1.0 – 1.2 Erbil expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultErbil to win ✗45%2.212.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗54%1.86–
Draw no betErbil (draw no bet) ✗59%1.70–
Asian handicapZakho +1 (Asian handicap) ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗59%1.681.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreErbil to score first50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Erbil / FT Erbil ✗24%4.12–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14%7.26–

Recent results

Zakho – last 6

LLLWDD
17 Oct@ Naft0–2L
9 Octvs Newroz0–1L
19 Sep@ Al-Karma0–1L
13 Sepvs Mosul2–1W
9 Sep@ Al-Jolan SC1–1D
5 Sepvs Al Talaba0–0D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Erbil – last 6

LLDWLW
17 Octvs Mosul0–1L
14 Oct@ Ajman4–5L
8 Oct@ Naft Maysan1–1D
18 Sep@ Karbala3–0W
14 Sepvs Al-Karma1–2L
8 Sepvs Diyala2–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 May 2026Zakho v Erbil1–2
14 Feb 2026Erbil v Zakho0–1
Zakho vs Erbil head-to-head page →

Iraqi League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Karma13931+1330
2Newroz13751+1326
3Naft13742+825
4Al Shorta13661+824
5Al-Jolan SC13652+723
6Al Zawra'a13634+521
7Erbil13553+720
8Duhok13463+418
9Al Minaa Basra13454-117
10Ghaz Al Shamal13373-116
11Al Talaba13373-316
12Diyala13355-314
13Gharraf13355-614
14Al Quwa Al Jawiya13274013
15Zakho13346-713
16Al Karkh13337-512
17Mosul13337-812
18Al Kahrabaa13256-611
19Naft Maysan13166-119
20Karbala13148-147

More Iraqi League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Zakho vs Erbil?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Zakho vs Erbil?

On our numbers Zakho have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Erbil 45%.

How many goals will there be in Zakho vs Erbil?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Zakho vs Erbil?

Our predicted score is Zakho 0–1 Erbil, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Zakho vs Erbil?

Zakho vs Erbil (Iraqi League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.