Al Karkh 44%Draw 23%Gharraf 33%Expected goals 1.26 – 1.05
60%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
1
Value bet: Al Karkh to win @ 2.45 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAl Karkh to win ✗44% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.96
Al Karkh vs Gharraf: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al Karkh welcome Gharraf for a Iraqi League fixture on Saturday 31 October (17:00 WAT). In the table, Al Karkh are 16th, lower half, on 12 points after 13 matches; Gharraf are 13th (lower half) with 14. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Al Karkh, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Mosul, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Gharraf, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Naft, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Karkh 1.3 xG, Gharraf 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Karkh 44%, draw 23%, Gharraf 33%.
Price worth noting: Al Karkh to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Karkh 1–1 Gharraf. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Karkh44%fair 2.30 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.00
Gharraf33%fair 3.03 · @2.75
2.31Expected goals
1.26Al Karkh xG
1.05Gharraf xG
47%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Al Karkh 1.3 – 1.0 Gharraf expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Karkh to win✗
44%
2.30
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
–
Draw no bet
Al Karkh (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Gharraf +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Al Karkh to score first
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Karkh / FT Al Karkh✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.96
–
Recent results
Al Karkh – last 6
DDLWWL
23 Oct
vs Mosul
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Al Shorta
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Al-Karma
2–3
L
17 Sep
vs Naft Maysan
3–2
W
13 Sep
vs Duhok
3–2
W
9 Sep
@ Al Talaba
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gharraf – last 6
DWDLLL
22 Oct
vs Naft
0–0
D
16 Oct
@ Karbala
2–1
W
9 Oct
vs Al-Jolan SC
0–0
D
17 Sep
@ Al Zawra'a
0–2
L
12 Sep
@ Diyala
1–3
L
8 Sep
vs Al Shorta
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Karkh and Gharraf.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Al Karkh vs Gharraf?
On our numbers Al Karkh have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gharraf 33%.
How many goals will there be in Al Karkh vs Gharraf?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Karkh vs Gharraf?
Our predicted score is Al Karkh 1–1 Gharraf, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Al Karkh vs Gharraf?
Al Karkh vs Gharraf (Iraqi League) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
