Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.80 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFlamurtari to win ✗68% · @1.44
Double chanceFlamurtari or draw ✓88% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗64% · @1.80
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.30
Flamurtari vs Burreli: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:30 WAT, Friday 11 September: Flamurtari v Burreli in the 1st Division, played at Stadiumi Flamurtari. In the table, Flamurtari are 6th, upper half, on 16 points after 10 matches; Burreli are 10th (in the drop zone) with 7.
Current form
Flamurtari, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Besa Kavajë, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Burreli, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Kastrioti Krujë, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Flamurtari, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.3 for Burreli.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Flamurtari 2.7 xG, Burreli 1.2 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 56% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Flamurtari 68%, draw 19%, Burreli 12%.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Flamurtari to win (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Flamurtari 2–1 Burreli. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Flamurtari68%fair 1.46 · @1.44
Draw19%fair 5.13 · @4.00
Burreli12%fair 8.16 · @6.00
3.89Expected goals
2.72Flamurtari xG
1.17Burreli xG
56%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
2–08%
3–07%
1–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Flamurtari 2.7 – 1.2 Burreli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Flamurtari to win✗
68%
1.46
1.44
Double chance
Flamurtari or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
–
Draw no bet
Flamurtari (draw no bet)
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Flamurtari -1 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.80 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.83
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
First team to score
Flamurtari to score first
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Flamurtari ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Flamurtari / FT Flamurtari✗
48%
2.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.30
–
Recent results
Flamurtari – last 6
DLDWDW
6 Sep
@ Besa Kavajë
3–3
D
10 May
@ Vllaznia Shkodër
0–2
L
6 May
vs Teuta Durrës
1–1
D
27 Apr
vs Dinamo Tirana
3–1
W
3 Apr
vs Tirana
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Vllaznia Shkodër
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Burreli – last 6
DDLLLL
6 Sep
vs Kastrioti Krujë
2–2
D
3 May
@ Apolonia Fier
4–4
D
19 Apr
@ Luftëtari
0–2
L
22 Mar
vs Pogradeci
0–3
L
18 Mar
@ Kastrioti Krujë
2–5
L
1 Mar
@ Besa Kavajë
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Flamurtari and Burreli.
Our pick is Flamurtari to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Flamurtari vs Burreli?
On our numbers Flamurtari have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Burreli 12%.
How many goals will there be in Flamurtari vs Burreli?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Flamurtari vs Burreli?
Our predicted score is Flamurtari 2–1 Burreli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Flamurtari vs Burreli?
Flamurtari vs Burreli (1st Division) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadiumi Flamurtari.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
