FK Kukesi 16%Draw 23%Pogradeci 62%Expected goals 0.71 – 1.70
62%
Betarazi pick
Pogradeci to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Picks by market
ResultPogradeci to win ✓62% · @1.80
Double chancePogradeci or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.55
FK Kukesi vs Pogradeci: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pogradeci travel to face FK Kukesi on Wednesday 16 September in the 1st Division, with Kukes Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, FK Kukesi are 4th, among the top four, on 18 points after 10 matches; Pogradeci are 5th (upper half) with 17. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
FK Kukesi, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Iliria Fushë-Krujë, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Pogradeci, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Kastrioti Krujë, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FK Kukesi 0.7 xG, Pogradeci 1.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 41%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FK Kukesi 16%, draw 23%, Pogradeci 62%.
Lower-risk option: Pogradeci or draw (84%) at 1.18.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Pogradeci to win (62%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Kukesi 0–1 Pogradeci. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FK Kukesi16%fair 6.41 · @3.80
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.40
Pogradeci62%fair 1.63 · @1.80
2.41Expected goals
0.71FK Kukesi xG
1.70Pogradeci xG
41%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–09%
0–37%
From our goals model: FK Kukesi 0.7 – 1.7 Pogradeci expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pogradeci to win✓
62%
1.63
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Pogradeci or draw✓
84%
1.18
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
–
Draw no bet
Pogradeci (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Pogradeci -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Pogradeci to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pogradeci / FT Pogradeci✓
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.55
–
Recent results
FK Kukesi – last 6
LWLWWD
12 Sep
@ Iliria Fushë-Krujë
1–3
L
5 Sep
vs Besëlidhja Lezhë
2–0
W
12 Aug
vs Besa Kavajë
1–4
L
28 May
vs Butrinti Sarandë
2–0
W
3 May
vs Besa Kavajë
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Korabi Peshkopi
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pogradeci – last 6
WDDWLL
12 Sep
vs Kastrioti Krujë
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Iliria Fushë-Krujë
0–0
D
11 May
vs Besa Kavajë
0–0
D
7 May
vs Kastrioti Krujë
3–0
W
3 May
@ Luftëtari
0–3
L
19 Apr
@ Laci
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FK Kukesi and Pogradeci.
What is the prediction for FK Kukesi vs Pogradeci?
Our pick is Pogradeci to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win FK Kukesi vs Pogradeci?
On our numbers FK Kukesi have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pogradeci 62%.
How many goals will there be in FK Kukesi vs Pogradeci?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Kukesi vs Pogradeci?
Our predicted score is FK Kukesi 0–1 Pogradeci, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is FK Kukesi vs Pogradeci?
FK Kukesi vs Pogradeci (1st Division) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Kukes Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
