FK Kukesi 16%Draw 21%Besa Kavajë 63%Expected goals 0.92 – 2.04
84%
Betarazi pick
Besa Kavajë or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Besa Kavajë to win @ 1.83 – our chance 63% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBesa Kavajë to win ✗63% · @1.83
Double chanceBesa Kavajë or draw ✗84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗7% · fair 13.59
FK Kukesi vs Besa Kavajë: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:30 WAT, Friday 16 October: FK Kukesi v Besa Kavajë in the 1st Division, played at Kukes Arena. In the table, FK Kukesi are 4th, among the top four, on 18 points after 10 matches; Besa Kavajë are 2nd (among the top four) with 18. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
FK Kukesi, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Bylis, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Besa Kavajë, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Iliria Fushë-Krujë, at home. The attack is flying at 3.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Besa Kavajë, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for FK Kukesi.
Head to head
When they last met (12 Aug 2026) it ended FK Kukesi 1–4 Besa Kavajë. The last 2 head-to-heads: FK Kukesi 1 win, Besa Kavajë 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FK Kukesi 0.9 xG, Besa Kavajë 2.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 53% for three or more goals, 47% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FK Kukesi 16%, draw 21%, Besa Kavajë 63%.
Lower-risk option: Besa Kavajë or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Price worth noting: Besa Kavajë to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Besa Kavajë or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Kukesi 0–2 Besa Kavajë. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FK Kukesi16%fair 6.32 · @3.70
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.30
Besa Kavajë63%fair 1.58 · @1.83
2.96Expected goals
0.92FK Kukesi xG
2.04Besa Kavajë xG
47%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: FK Kukesi 0.9 – 2.0 Besa Kavajë expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FK Kukesi vs Besa Kavajë?
Our pick is Besa Kavajë or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FK Kukesi vs Besa Kavajë?
On our numbers FK Kukesi have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Besa Kavajë 63%.
How many goals will there be in FK Kukesi vs Besa Kavajë?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Kukesi vs Besa Kavajë?
Our predicted score is FK Kukesi 0–2 Besa Kavajë, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is FK Kukesi vs Besa Kavajë?
FK Kukesi vs Besa Kavajë (1st Division) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Kukes Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
