Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultBylis to win ✗39% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗65% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.20
Bylis vs Pogradeci: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 23 October the 1st Division brings Bylis against Pogradeci at Stadiumi Adush Muca. Kick-off: 12:30 WAT. In the table, Bylis are 3rd, among the top four, on 18 points after 10 matches; Pogradeci are 5th (upper half) with 17. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Bylis, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Korabi Peshkopi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Pogradeci, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Sopoti Librazhd, at home. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bylis 1.0 xG, Pogradeci 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bylis 39%, draw 23%, Pogradeci 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bylis 0–0 Pogradeci. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bylis39%fair 2.59 · @2.70
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.00
Pogradeci38%fair 2.63 · @2.45
1.96Expected goals
0.99Bylis xG
0.97Pogradeci xG
44%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–014%
1–014%
0–114%
1–114%
2–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Bylis 1.0 – 1.0 Pogradeci expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bylis to win✗
39%
2.59
2.70
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
–
Draw no bet
Bylis (draw no bet)
50%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Pogradeci +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Bylis to score first
43%
2.31
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.20
–
Recent results
Bylis – last 6
DWWDDW
17 Oct
@ Korabi Peshkopi
0–0
D
10 Oct
vs FK Kukesi
1–0
W
7 Oct
vs Albpetrol Patos
4–1
W
20 Sep
@ Iliria Fushë-Krujë
1–1
D
16 Sep
vs Besëlidhja Lezhë
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Oriku
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Pogradeci – last 6
DWWDWW
17 Oct
vs Sopoti Librazhd
2–2
D
11 Oct
@ Korabi Peshkopi
2–0
W
7 Oct
vs Delvina
7–0
W
20 Sep
vs Flamurtari
0–0
D
16 Sep
@ FK Kukesi
3–0
W
12 Sep
vs Kastrioti Krujë
2–1
W
2.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bylis and Pogradeci.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Bylis vs Pogradeci?
On our numbers Bylis have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pogradeci 38%.
How many goals will there be in Bylis vs Pogradeci?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bylis vs Pogradeci?
Our predicted score is Bylis 0–0 Pogradeci, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Bylis vs Pogradeci?
Bylis vs Pogradeci (1st Division) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadiumi Adush Muca.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
