Value bet: Iliria Fushë-Krujë to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultKastrioti Krujë to win ✗41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.22
Kastrioti Krujë vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 24 October the 1st Division brings Kastrioti Krujë against Iliria Fushë-Krujë. Kick-off: 12:30 WAT. In the table, Kastrioti Krujë are 9th, lower half, on 11 points after 10 matches; Iliria Fushë-Krujë are 1st (leading the league) with 21.
Current form
Kastrioti Krujë, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Besëlidhja Lezhë, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Iliria Fushë-Krujë, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Burreli, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kastrioti Krujë 1.3 xG, Iliria Fushë-Krujë 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kastrioti Krujë 41%, draw 22%, Iliria Fushë-Krujë 38%.
Price worth noting: Iliria Fushë-Krujë to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kastrioti Krujë 1–1 Iliria Fushë-Krujë. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kastrioti Krujë41%fair 2.46 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Iliria Fushë-Krujë38%fair 2.66 · @3.00
2.45Expected goals
1.26Kastrioti Krujë xG
1.19Iliria Fushë-Krujë xG
46%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Kastrioti Krujë 1.3 – 1.2 Iliria Fushë-Krujë expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kastrioti Krujë to win✗
41%
2.46
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
–
Draw no bet
Kastrioti Krujë (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Iliria Fushë-Krujë +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Kastrioti Krujë to score first✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kastrioti Krujë / FT Kastrioti Krujë
22%
4.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.22
–
Recent results
Kastrioti Krujë – last 6
LWWDWL
17 Oct
@ Besëlidhja Lezhë
1–4
L
11 Oct
vs Oriku
2–0
W
7 Oct
vs Luzi 2008
3–1
W
20 Sep
@ Sopoti Librazhd
1–1
D
16 Sep
vs Flamurtari
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Pogradeci
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Iliria Fushë-Krujë – last 6
WLWDDW
17 Oct
vs Burreli
1–0
W
11 Oct
@ Besa Kavajë
0–2
L
7 Oct
vs Veleçiku Koplik
4–3
W
20 Sep
vs Bylis
1–1
D
16 Sep
@ Korabi Peshkopi
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs FK Kukesi
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kastrioti Krujë and Iliria Fushë-Krujë.
What is the prediction for Kastrioti Krujë vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Kastrioti Krujë vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë?
On our numbers Kastrioti Krujë have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Iliria Fushë-Krujë 38%.
How many goals will there be in Kastrioti Krujë vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kastrioti Krujë vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë?
Our predicted score is Kastrioti Krujë 1–1 Iliria Fushë-Krujë, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Kastrioti Krujë vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë?
Kastrioti Krujë vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë (1st Division) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
