Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultPogradeci to win ✗75% · @1.09
Double chancePogradeci or draw ✓88% · fair 1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.78
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Pogradeci vs Oriku: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:30 WAT, Wednesday 28 October: Pogradeci v Oriku in the 1st Division. In the table, Pogradeci are 5th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Oriku are 12th (in the drop zone) with 2. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Pogradeci, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Bylis, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Oriku, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sopoti Librazhd, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Pogradeci, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.2 for Oriku.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pogradeci 2.2 xG, Oriku 0.7 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 44% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pogradeci 75%, draw 13%, Oriku 12%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pogradeci 3–0 Oriku. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pogradeci75%fair 1.34 · @1.09
Draw13%fair 7.75 · @9.00
Oriku12%fair 8.04 · @21.00
2.91Expected goals
2.22Pogradeci xG
0.69Oriku xG
44%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Pogradeci 2.2 – 0.7 Oriku expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pogradeci to win✗
75%
1.34
1.09
Double chance
Pogradeci or draw✓
88%
1.14
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
–
Draw no bet
Pogradeci (draw no bet)
86%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Pogradeci -1 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Pogradeci to score first✗
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Pogradeci ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pogradeci / FT Pogradeci✗
48%
2.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
10%
10.07
–
Recent results
Pogradeci – last 6
DDWWDW
23 Oct
@ Bylis
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs Sopoti Librazhd
2–2
D
11 Oct
@ Korabi Peshkopi
2–0
W
7 Oct
vs Delvina
7–0
W
20 Sep
vs Flamurtari
0–0
D
16 Sep
@ FK Kukesi
3–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Oriku – last 6
DLLLLL
24 Oct
@ Sopoti Librazhd
1–1
D
16 Oct
vs Flamurtari
1–4
L
11 Oct
@ Kastrioti Krujë
0–2
L
7 Oct
vs Butrinti Sarandë
1–2
L
20 Sep
vs Burreli
0–1
L
16 Sep
@ Besa Kavajë
0–5
L
0.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogradeci and Oriku.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Pogradeci vs Oriku?
On our numbers Pogradeci have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Oriku 12%.
How many goals will there be in Pogradeci vs Oriku?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogradeci vs Oriku?
Our predicted score is Pogradeci 3–0 Oriku, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Pogradeci vs Oriku?
Pogradeci vs Oriku (1st Division) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
