Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.33Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.10 – our chance 58% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCittadella to win ✓45% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.87
Cittadella vs Renate: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Renate travel to face Cittadella on Thursday 3 September in the Coppa Italia Serie C, with Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT.
Current form
Cittadella, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Renate, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Renate, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cittadella, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Cittadella, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Renate.
Head to head
When they last met (31 Aug 2026) it ended Renate 0–1 Cittadella. The last 2 head-to-heads: Cittadella 2 wins, Renate 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cittadella 2.0 xG, Renate 1.7 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cittadella 45%, draw 23%, Renate 32%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.33 – longer than our fair 1.25, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cittadella 2–1 Renate. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cittadella45%fair 2.20 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.10
Renate32%fair 3.16 · @3.00
3.73Expected goals
2.04Cittadella xG
1.69Renate xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
2–05%
From our goals model: Cittadella 2.0 – 1.7 Renate expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Cittadella vs Renate?
On our numbers Cittadella have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Renate 32%.
How many goals will there be in Cittadella vs Renate?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cittadella vs Renate?
Our predicted score is Cittadella 2–1 Renate, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Cittadella vs Renate?
Cittadella vs Renate (Coppa Italia Serie C) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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