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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Abia Warriors v Bendel Insurance: numbers & prediction

NPFL · Nigeria · Umuahia Township Stadium
3–0
FT
Abia Warriors 66%Draw 24%Bendel Insurance 10% Expected goals 1.87 – 0.61
66%
Betarazi pick

Abia Warriors to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultAbia Warriors to win ✓66% · @1.57
Double chanceAbia Warriors or draw ✓90% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.35

Abia Warriors vs Bendel Insurance: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Abia Warriors welcome Bendel Insurance to Umuahia Township Stadium for a NPFL fixture on Sunday 27 September (16:00 WAT). In the table, Abia Warriors are 6th, upper half, on 55 points after 38 matches; Bendel Insurance are 7th (upper half) with 53. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Abia Warriors, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Barau FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Bendel Insurance, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Ikorodu City, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Abia Warriors 1.9 xG, Bendel Insurance 0.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 44%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Abia Warriors 66%, draw 24%, Bendel Insurance 10%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Abia Warriors to win (66%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.51, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Abia Warriors 1–0 Bendel Insurance. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Abia Warriors66%fair 1.51 · @1.57
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.20
Bendel Insurance10%fair 9.98 · @6.00
2.47Expected goals
1.87Abia Warriors xG
0.61Bendel Insurance xG
44%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–015%
1–110%
3–09%
2–19%
0–08%

From our goals model: Abia Warriors 1.9 – 0.6 Bendel Insurance expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAbia Warriors to win ✓66%1.511.57
Double chanceAbia Warriors or draw ✓90%1.111.08
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓56%1.78–
Draw no betAbia Warriors (draw no bet) ✓87%1.15–
Asian handicapAbia Warriors -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗59%1.681.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreAbia Warriors to score first ✓69%1.45–
Half-time resultAbia Warriors ahead at half-time ✓47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Abia Warriors / FT Abia Warriors ✓43%2.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.35–

Recent results

Abia Warriors – last 6

LWDLWW
23 Sep@ Barau FC0–2L
20 Sep@ Sporting Lagos2–0W
13 Sepvs Ikorodu City2–2D
24 May@ Warri Wolves1–2L
19 Aprvs Ikorodu City2–1W
6 Aprvs Bayelsa United1–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Bendel Insurance – last 6

WLWLWD
23 Sepvs Ikorodu City2–1W
20 Sep@ Ranchers Bees1–2L
13 Sepvs Kun Khalifat FC4–2W
6 Sep@ Nasarawa United0–1L
30 Augvs Warri Wolves2–1W
24 Mayvs Remo Stars1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Abia Warriors and Bendel Insurance.

Abia Warriors vs Bendel Insurance head-to-head page →

NPFL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Enugu Rangers3819118+2068
2Rivers United3819109+1367
3Shooting Stars3818614+160
4Ikorodu City38161012+458
5Nasarawa United3816814+356
6Abia Warriors3816715-355
7Bendel Insurance37131410+553
8Barau FC38131312+452
9Katsina United37141013-252
10Kano Pillars3815617-251
11Plateau United3815518-150
12Kwara United38131114-150
13Enyimba38131015+249
14Kun Khalifat FC38131015-149
15Warri Wolves38131015-549
16Niger Tornadoes3813916+148
17Remo Stars3814519-547
18El Kanemi Warriors3813817-1647
19Bayelsa United38111017-543
20Wikki Tourist3891316-1240

More NPFL predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Abia Warriors vs Bendel Insurance?

Our pick is Abia Warriors to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Abia Warriors vs Bendel Insurance?

On our numbers Abia Warriors have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bendel Insurance 10%.

How many goals will there be in Abia Warriors vs Bendel Insurance?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Abia Warriors vs Bendel Insurance?

Our predicted score is Abia Warriors 1–0 Bendel Insurance, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Abia Warriors vs Bendel Insurance?

Abia Warriors vs Bendel Insurance (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Umuahia Township Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.