Nasarawa United 66%Draw 22%Niger Tornadoes 12%Expected goals 1.74 – 0.58
66%
Betarazi pick
Nasarawa United to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultNasarawa United to win ✓66% · @1.50
Double chanceNasarawa United or draw ✓88% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.85
Nasarawa United vs Niger Tornadoes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 27 September the NPFL brings Nasarawa United against Niger Tornadoes at Lafia Township Stadium. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Nasarawa United are 5th, upper half, on 56 points after 38 matches; Niger Tornadoes are 16th (lower half) with 48.
Current form
Nasarawa United, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Kwara United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Niger Tornadoes, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Warri Wolves, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nasarawa United 1.7 xG, Niger Tornadoes 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 42%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nasarawa United 66%, draw 22%, Niger Tornadoes 12%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Nasarawa United to win (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nasarawa United 1–0 Niger Tornadoes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nasarawa United66%fair 1.52 · @1.50
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.40
Niger Tornadoes12%fair 8.39 · @6.25
2.32Expected goals
1.74Nasarawa United xG
0.58Niger Tornadoes xG
42%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–010%
3–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Nasarawa United 1.7 – 0.6 Niger Tornadoes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nasarawa United to win✓
66%
1.52
1.50
Double chance
Nasarawa United or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
–
Draw no bet
Nasarawa United (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Nasarawa United -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
–
First team to score
Nasarawa United to score first✓
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Nasarawa United ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nasarawa United / FT Nasarawa United✓
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
17%
5.85
–
Recent results
Nasarawa United – last 6
LDLWLD
23 Sep
@ Kwara United
1–2
L
20 Sep
vs Rivers United
1–1
D
18 Sep
@ Enugu Rangers
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Bendel Insurance
1–0
W
30 Aug
@ Barau FC
1–3
L
17 Jun
vs Ikorodu City
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Niger Tornadoes – last 6
DLLWWL
23 Sep
vs Warri Wolves
0–0
D
20 Sep
@ Katsina United
0–1
L
6 Sep
@ Kano Pillars
2–3
L
30 Aug
vs Enyimba
2–1
W
24 May
vs Shooting Stars
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Remo Stars
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nasarawa United and Niger Tornadoes.
What is the prediction for Nasarawa United vs Niger Tornadoes?
Our pick is Nasarawa United to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Nasarawa United vs Niger Tornadoes?
On our numbers Nasarawa United have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Niger Tornadoes 12%.
How many goals will there be in Nasarawa United vs Niger Tornadoes?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nasarawa United vs Niger Tornadoes?
Our predicted score is Nasarawa United 1–0 Niger Tornadoes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Nasarawa United vs Niger Tornadoes?
Nasarawa United vs Niger Tornadoes (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Lafia Township Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Inter Lagos0